Pretty close. I do think the avg person falls for Gambler’s Fallacy, but even the dumbest Americans know it’s not 0% to flip the same side twice in a row (if for no other reason than having flipped a coin before). IMO the bot would have passed the Turing test had it said the 2nd flip was 25%. Then it would have the same mastery of probability as a Roulette system player, eg “I’ll just wait for 5 reds in a row and then start betting black. Six reds in a row only happens 1 in __, so I’ll have a big edge, especially if I martingale.” One week later: “XYZ’s roulette is rigged!”
TBF I assume the bot would do better if directly asked a probability question as opposed to that tricky prompt.
Asked ChatGPT to write a Radiohead song about how chestnuts feel while on the floor and I think it kinda nailed it.
Verse 1:
I’m just a chestnut on the ground
Nobody cares where I’m found
I’ve fallen from the highest tree
Now I’m left for all to see
Chorus:
And I wonder, do you hear me
Do you see me lying here
All alone, but not forgotten
Just a chestnut on the floor
Verse 2:
My shell is cracked, my insides bare
The wind and rain, they don’t play fair
I used to shine with vibrant hue
Now I’m just a faded view
Chorus:
And I wonder, do you hear me
Do you see me lying here
All alone, but not forgotten
Just a chestnut on the floor
Bridge:
But deep inside, I still hold hope
That one day I will find a home
A place to grow, to be loved and free
And a chance to be what I can be
Chorus:
And I wonder, do you hear me
Do you see me lying here
All alone, but not forgotten
Just a chestnut on the floor
Outro:
So if you see me on the ground
Please pick me up, and show me 'round
And let me be a part of your world
Just a chestnut, with a story to be told.
