Betting on Sports

Yes, you can convert them. Bear in mind on bonus bets you do not get the stake amount returned, only the winnings. (e.g., bet a $100 bonus bet on a +100 line, you end up with $100 in your account, not $200). And also be aware whether there is a requirement that you bet through that $5000 deposit on DK, and if there is, if you are willing to do that. I’d be pretty surprised if there wasn’t a play-through requirement.

You can use a free bet conversion tool to identify the highest conversion %'s on other books. You run a much lower risk at getting limited at your hedge site if you do mainlines vs. props. A good free one I have used is Crazy Ninja Odds

I’m sure others more well-versed in this can add more detail if I missed anything important.

Is that a new user promo or existing user? I’ve never seen anything like that for existing users.

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Google arb betting

We all smashed these books three years ago

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I’m an existing customer who got throttled about 2 years ago for sharp plays and haven’t wagered much with them since. So I was very surprised to receive this offer

It does have a play thru requirement. Unsure what that means… I have to play thru the $5k I deposit? That’s gonna be hard to do seeing as how they limited my prop bets to $25-$50 (I was playing to win $500 when they restricted me)

Having to bet 5000 to get 500 in free bets “worth about 350” isn’t really worth it

It would be if they take my limits off prop plays

Got 25% up to $500. Confirmed mark.

It definitely feels like DK is trying to jumpstart their casino again. I’m running hot as hell up like $4k in the past few weeks churning bonuses.

Did you get emails for this. I don’t see anything.

I received an email, which is what. brought my attention to it. But it’s in my rewards tab on the app too

I attributed it to start of NFL season. Only saw in promo/rewards tab

gym’s got an nfl pool where entry is $54 ($3/week) and you get a random team. $96/week is given to the owner of the team that scores exactly 33 points.

never heard of that before. looked into it a little, some years it happens 2 or 3 times. others 7 or 8. sounds fun.

also, this is wiiild. none of these teams play each other, it’s who they’re actually matched up with and then you combine. lmao wtf

I never thought of this before, but seeing it now, I’m shocked that it took this long. Basically gives the books an infinite amount of markets to offer, particularly for popular sports.

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and 4 teams to model, meaning twice the edge against weekend warriors i’d assume.

DK casino promos have been incredible forever. VIP in a casino state is probably worth $20-30k+ per account in EV alone

Golden nugget too, now that DK took that over

I haven’t had a DK casino promo is years. Man I miss 2021 sportsbook and casino money.

Yep. What an 18 month run

Get more accounts and the money never stopped

How does one do that

Looking for some strategy feedback. I joined a new super contest this year with a set of rules that I am not familiar with.

Details:

  • Approx 35 entrants
  • Weekly lines posted and are locked on Wednesday
  • Make 5 non-confidence picks (don’t have to assign a 1-5 value to each pick - all picks are worth the same)
  • Win worth 1 point, loss worth 0, push worth 0.5
  • No weekly winners, only payout is at end of year
  • Pay top 4

Looking at past season results on the dashboard, the winning team averaged anywhere between 3 and 3.3 points per week. Basically, I feel that if I can average 3-2 each week then I’ll finish in the money.

My plan is to stay away from the TNF games and focus on the Sunday slate, given the fixed lines. I’m also in a 10-pick confidence pool with locked lines and by the time Sunday rolls around, there’s typically at least 5 games where you can beat the closing line by 1 point (oftentimes much more than 1 if there’s a QB situation).

So I guess what I’m trying to ask is: is optimal strategy to just take the 5 games with the biggest differential between contest line and closing line? Any other suggestions?

Another strategy thought:

  • I could go full contrarian and stay away from all the popular plays and play a lot of home dogs. Like maybe never bet KC or Baltimore on the road and try to take NE, NYG, Carolina, Arizona etc. at home. This has always been super painful to do in my confidence pool because you have to assign a value, but I could see it being a better strategy in a non-confidence pool.