Starting to think my Dems win FL by <1% wasn’t optimistic enough
as many times as those jerkoffs carried FL by bullshit
I hope we barely get it and they whine
In for a bit under 10k. Made this chart, for anyone interested, showing the lines on ACR (America’s Cardroom) w/the breakeven %, as well as 538 odds for a comparison, and finally my bets.
I’ve had tons of success w/crypto cashouts on ACR, but can’t speak to other methods.
Michigan is my choice as the “safe” state and going pretty big on FL, and taking a chance on GA, IA, and TX, then sprinkled some around on several states the dems have a decent edge in. Montana is my big “blue wave” state.
As I was placing bets, a couple lines actually changed 5 cents in my favor, so seems money is still coming in on Trump.
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I like how on PI all the lock red states are 98-99 and the lock blues are 94. Also like how the yes markets all add to ~108 and the nos to ~92.
Definitely efficient markets here.
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Yeah I think Chris and I basically agreed it varies a lot from country to country but mainly from sport to sport.
I do know “from the horse’s mouth” that due to the nature of outsiders in horseracing bookies try their damnedest to control their liabilities in that sport. I mean when a nag can win the Grand National at 100/1 as happened a few years ago they have to protect themselves. Other sports like football etc never see odds like that.
You’ll have to be more specific.
Sorry?
grue is also a chris
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Ah lol ok.
Suitable spot for my racing bet brag: I once had £30 on a winner at 220 at Betfair SP. When I got home to do the tedious day’s results and saw my account balance it took a few seconds to register what had happened.
I have an uncomfortable amount of money on Biden
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predictit servers already struggling
Small bet on smallest MOV - TX +1600
lots of us do including me
also in my pump and dump VA strategy news, do not do this, NoVA is planning on reporting early instead of late like they always did before, abandon ship on the plan.
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We all lost so much money
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We’re fine.
Well, I didn’t touch FL, so maybe you guys are gonna lose some there.
LOL the morons who bet VA GOP
That was one of the books’ biggest liabilities and it was called at close of the polls.
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Presidency now flip
Ohio early results are mail-in, IIRC, so don’t get too excited.