Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

If you are willing to use the community forum, you can usually get Zelle payments pretty quickly.

-250 now

checks PredictIt
refresh
portfolio drops $100

these capped markets aren’t gonna move until PredictIt resolves them yes, i guess.

I went big on Trump winning by 6am tomorrow, bet resolves if the NYT reports trump is leading popular vote in states to get at least 270 electoral votes.

So there’s a scenario where I could lose my bet, but Trump still wins the election. There’s also a scenario in which I win my bet but biden wins. So I got a little sweat either way. Only way I can tolerate this.

Biden surging to -210 on Bovada

2 Likes

Trump out to 3.2

Yeah I’ve been accumulating and was gonna throw one more at -190 but it moved on me. Think I’m done til we start getting results in.

I’m currently four-figures in and considering pushing it up to five for almost purely vindictive reasons. The free money markets are basically an idiot-tax on Qanon. Feels almost patriotic to max them all out.

3 Likes

Trump back in to 3.1 Don’t do it!

j/k

Just put a hundo on Montana going blue.

5 Likes

My PredictIt stonks are stonking (green arrow go up).

What’s funny is I’m in one of the capped president markets (woman VP), it stalled at 62c but the other markets are up to 68c now.

someone took Vermont to 89c this morning

some people just swing for fences with a whiffle bat vs a real ball

I’m convinced that is the roles were reversed, the magaverse would pump MT to like a 60/40 market. They drove WI/MI to 70/30 and those states are arguably less likely to be red than MT blue.

1 Like

You crazy.

Ohio offering 0.75 for what is basically a coinflip imo.

0.11 is a good price IMO

I’m now officially in the five figure club. I’m double maxed on NC for Biden and double maxed on NC for Cooper.

4 Likes

I’ve never gotten anywhere but Ohio pretty likely R just because when I think Ohio I think of all the people in a trump rally.

I am in a similar boat for MT as well, i set a sell order for some of my shares at a price I think it might hit if the vote looks close-ish and letting the rest ride since I’m not expecting the site to be operable

1 Like

Yeah I am considering doing the same. Will make my mind up in the next hour or so.