me a few posts ago, Collins at 95% yes seems high tho put a little on no there
turns out I should’ve put a lot on no there dangit
Romney seems too high at 34 to me as well, he didn’t vote for her before, why would he now
so I’m bad at this
in I just got pwned news, predictit added a supplemental rule on would sweden/finland join nato and that alone switched what was probably a no (based on the rules) to a pretty much yes. man I’m torching money lately and now that.
Um…there is no way there is 60 or more votes on gun control by June 30th right?
good call, I’ve been entirely in sports lately
gonna be tough to get a bill on the floor by then unless chuck says f’this and just does it knowing it won’t pass happening by then much less getting something that would get 60 votes
by some quick math there’s 9 days left if they’re not on break the final week.
edit–they are. It’s four they have four actual days if someone didn’t come up with something over the holiday weekend.
Sorry to say you guys are fucked cause I just maxed it for $1,500 and my track record on betting on legislation is abysmal AND I’m running awful. But this seems like a… Yeah not saying it.
Hope it passes on July 1st, which also isn’t happening.
well I definitely just stopped and am now looking into this thanks to this post
so uh, they were working on it over the weekend–reportedly bill text coming soon
play might be to wait, hope for this, buy no and hope like rand paul is a huge jerk again trying to delay the crap out of it
zero chance, im gonna max this
Not the time to be siding with me on something involving money, I’m getting wrecked at everything I do. It appears they could vote on it within the next 24 hours, all I can do is laugh if I lose money betting against a gun bill. They’re currently hung up on abortion, of all things, the GOP wants the Hyde Amendment language on this bill.
ehh i read up on it a bit and feeling less confident. of course the bill they wanna pass that mitch says he’s comfortable voting on does absolutely nothing for gun control and seems like it’s just gonna go after the mentally ill with “red flag” laws.
pass, still would be surprised if it passed
the bet was never whether R’s would pass a bill doing anything on gun control, everyone knows that wouldn’t happen, the bet is whether they pass a bill
I guess the wording of the bet confused me
well true it does say a gun control bill, but if it says title of gun control bill but nothing in it is actually gun control that still is gonna count, it says restriction which is going to be very loose.
Just noticed that Desantis passed Trump on the 2024 nominee market
yeah, some weirdos thinking jan 6 matters
yea this is what spooked me off the bet
murphy announces agreement, and they’re gonna start with a house bill to shelve the filibuster
there might really be a vote on thursday night
What does shelve the filibuster mean in this context?
Even if there is literally zero gun control in this bill I don’t see 10 Republican senators voting for it.
Looks like they got it done, the boyfriend loophole gets closed for 5 years, then if no convictions for violent crime take place, they can buy a gun anyway.
Vote on Thursday if no Republicans cave and nothing changes.
Like how bad do you have to run to lose a bet against 10 Republican senators voting for gun restrictions with four or five working days left to get it done?
My sets lose to top pair with no backdoor flush/straight twice in one day, I lost AA to some clown with 43 triple barrelling T98 with no flush backdoor after opening and calling my 3bet, I timed the stone bottom to sell crypto to move it into a merger arb play, and now this.
10 fucking months of this shit.
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