Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

26c and it looks like they are getting UC

thankfully I didn’t even put one max bet on this but I’m punting too much $ on PI right now sigh

I only have NO on Bmax.

Yea RIP me. I am the death of PredictIt profits for anyone that I follow into a bet. Going to basically lose a double max on this one.

Can’t believe this shit was at 99c last night. Should have just sold there instead of holding out for an extra penny.

Need more markets for trump to be in office next month IMO.

Also, I would be really careful for everyone jumping into the Cuomo markets. There is a ton of uncertainty on timing right now, including becuase the NY legislature isn’t even in session right now. Any bet you’re making on whether the NY leg will impeach by X date is straight gambooling right now. He’s not going to finish his term, but beyond that it’s anybody’s guess how it unfolds.

B1 getting pumped again but I have no idea why maybe it’s as I stated previously all about whether the v ote happens tonight or not

Sure looks like we’re getting ass blasted.

B1 has moved to 50’s

basically nobody has any idea whether there’s a vote tonight or not and that’s basically entirely what that market is.

vote looking less likely over time tonight so far anyway so it has moved into the 60s.

Still wish they’d disable the comments.

Congrats to those who held on, looks like it won’t happen tonight

Whew. That was fun. Vote Saturday, apparently.

Errr, wait what? Jesus the pumps in this market.

it looks like that bill is getting 60+ votes to me and they did try to get a vote tonight, there are just too many amendments on it to get there and R’s are out of town tomorrow.

Doesn’t matter WON I know.

Can’t bling bling blaow Sklansky bucks.

Yea that was the understanding the past couple days AFAIK, that the bill was going to pass but that they would have to do it by tonight for the bets to win, because of the funeral (edit: so our original thesis was wrong). Today’s madness was that, out of fucking nowhere, there started to be a possibility that they actually got through it tonight.

I held through with a fully clenched butthole. Haven’t relaxed it yet tbh.

I think the real winners were the pumpers and those with lucky timing. Those 1-2c shares from 12 hours ago were worth 75c an hour ago.

Was away for a few hours, looks like 59 or less is back on the menu?

How low did it get?

It got in the 20s at one point…

I swear I’m a completely rational person.

But I also swear I must have jinxed this with my last post in this thread. So let me make sure to end this post with

knocks on wood

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Yikes. Glad I wasn’t around. I might have panic sold.

I dumped a few when I thought there was only 13 amendments, of course there is 25 and I was just being silly

I did hold, but needless to say I was not feeling it at trivia night tonight

knocks on wood

instead of filibustering, they just piled on amendments should’ve seen that coming and maxed both sides out when it hit 25 but nooooo

Was also at trivia night. Did not contribute much, although I was the only one on the team to correctly identify “I Stay Away” by Alice In Chains in the music round.

So watching CSPAN (for first time in quite some time). Schumer just said this is coming back for a vote Saturday

whew…

But still for good measure

knock on wood

Got what a fucking wild ride today has been

once again for good measure

knock on wood

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