YES feels free to me, only risk is if the articles aren’t sent for a while, but seems like they will be soon.
if you think his vote is irrelevant, then I guess that means that you think Trump won’t be convicted. In that case then you probably can get better value in Senate to convict “NO” and Bmax “NO” on the # of senators to convict, that would be a better value play in that case.
Manchin voted to convict in the previous impeachment
Lol no helping them. It is the ultimate freeroll. Any dem elected = not rightful. But if Dems assassinated by rightwing mob = bet valid.
1 Like
lmao
Actually its not in the messages there but my friend said to me that they agreed that if the inauguration was prevented by rioting/violence then it was a push lol, so he didn’t even have to worry about that.
What is the significance of March 6th? Is that the newest Q nonsense date?
1 Like
Isn’t that when inauguration would be if not for the 12th Amendment?
Right. Although it’s the 20th Amendment and it used to be March 4th, this guy is saying the 6th to make sure the Straya time difference is accounted for. I presume this is also the reason for the provision about changing the name of the President, since I guess there’s going to be a new Constitution based loosely around the original one. Or something.
Why are any of you placing bets with MAGA manchildren who aren’t going to pay up when they lose? Seems like you’re offering them the dumbest freeroll ever.
2 Likes
“OK cool so here’s the deal: you pay me the money I won from this bet, today, right now, and if Donald Trump is President of the United States on April 1st, 2021, I will pay you triple that back. NM, make it 10x”
1 Like
I somehow read twentieth as twelfth
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1352697134294966274
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1352701353177583617
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1352702724626903042
all within a half hour of one another
3 Likes
How are all these R’s who don’t like yellen gonna vote for her, sigh, gonna eat a loss there. Looks like at least 15 of them would normally have voted no.
Cabinet NO’s now a lot closer to reality at least for some of them. Did I bet the max on the ones I liked and rake in the money? LOL no.
Got 1099 from PI. It looks like the 5% withdrawal fee is only subtracted from profits, not overall balance. Tax season is going to suck this year.
1 Like
Sigh, that is frustrating.
If my back of the envelope math is right that would mean that you need to bet at 0.92 or better to actually make profit assuming a tax rate of 22% or 24% and 0.91 if you’re in the 32% or 35%. That’s pretty shit.
Yeah… WTF. That’s some bs.
Its also flagged as royalties which is also wrong. There has to be some way to deduct the fees on the full withdrawal not just the profits.
I got an email from them that the 1099s issued to me were incorrect and they will be issuing a new one shortly. So we will see. I don’t think it was labeled as royalties in the past, so I’m assuming that’s the issue.
Got fucked over by some old buy orders in the mcconnell and impeachment vote markets today😑 almost down a max all put together. Atleast the Conte market eased a couple of hundred of the daily loss. Cashed out my deposit plus my 2020 profits earlier. I think I’m just going to go aggressive on my plays until 5 figures or bust. Stonks!!!
1 Like