Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

I didn’t get back in on 7+ like I had planned, I was right to leave though it went hard wrong way after I sold them just didn’t get back in sad.

I still had some “none” and equivalent shares and was fucking amazed to get out of them for 1-2c AFTER the Arizona objection had been filed. Turns out they’d be worth more now. Fuck me, right.

I still have a good chunk of Hawley “no” shares that I don’t know what to do with tbh. Definitely hit a one-outer here, I could sell out now and be in the green despite being completely wrong.

the shit that hit tonight isn’t even a top 10 PI hit but man

and elsewhere “will trump get banned off twitter” prop me of course not, they haven’t banned him for anything yet so there’s nothing he can do at this point

god damnit that would’ve been a 5 minute like 75% ROI

I’m still not seeing either way. Just him refusing to say either way. I’m guessing some big grandstanding speech ‘but for the good of the country I won’t object.’

Lol now 3 objections is pumping.

guess the theory is loeffler has nothing to lose at this point and hawley going **** it LEROY JENKINS WORKED ONCE WHY NOT

Loeffler has nothing to gain. She already lost. She was only doing it to gain votes, and she wants to go back to rich, polite society.

the house to vote to object is now the most interesting one, how many house members are still completely off their rockers

Poof goes 3 objections, with Loeffler backing down, which seemed the most obvious.

this might be the wildest day in PI history, not individual markets alone but so many of them flipped so many times. think this # 4 for hawley

The last 24 hours have been wild. The objections markets have been absolutely insane. I haven’t been following closely the last hour, but my god that objection market is going berserk between 1 and 2.

cliffs are hawley cucked out with the speech so it went down, then it got reported he’s still doing it, then it got reported it’s verbal only then it got reported he’s still doing it in writing and I think it’s going down again maybe I don’t know

I got out at a profit once what the hell is going on other than people pumping in the comments of course

God the swings are insane. It’s got to be super profitable to trade live if you’ve got even just real-time info. The # of rejections market just went batshit too.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-term

This is back in play

First one ended up being 6 senators voting yes

I bailed out of 13, PA might get more

Seems like free money as it says temporary incapacity doesn’t count, so even if they use Article 25, he wouldn’t be permanently replaced within two weeks. Although I could be misinterpreting what constitutes temporary incapacity.

God the objection market might kill me​:joy::joy: I’ve done nothing but swing trading since last post. This is insane

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Think this might be it though. Not bagholding at 90c. Guess ole Tubby might go rouge though. Might make for some wild swings.

I’ve been checked out for a few hours. I see Johnson is now 95c to object. Was he signed on to the first one? Or is he expected to join Hawley on PA?