Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

im trying to get NO in all the trump cabinet markets, thats gotta be free money. Will be 3 months but the 5% will help w/ some of the fees and i wanna keep floating some cash on PI anyway

Best I could do was a max on Pompeo no 94c.

they did miss closing one, the will a candidate get 50% that’s done too
that WI case is holding up most of the others you want paid out right now

edit–and woman not being elected president that one was over forever ago I forgot about that and probably another one I’m not scrolling through them all right now

but damnit guys you hit all the free money markets

btw big thumbs up to whoever bought trump to win nevada at 15 cents today just to lose all your money within 24 hours

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Is it free, though? I mean, what if the Senate fucks around and Biden lets some of them stay interim as a show of bipartisan blah blah blah?

a few in the senate are talking about fucking around but I can’t think of anyone there that isn’t getting canned on day 1. He’s already nominated most of their replacements.

Ron Johnson may be one of those objectors in the senate though since he’s up in 2022. Most have kabosh’ed that idea but he’s clearly not a no right now for that.

Please tip more and speculate less.

Can’t believe this finally paid out. Trying to pick up some pennies before I withdraw, I just maxed out on MA, SC, and TX primary winners winning the presidency. Bought them for 0.97 each.

Is there a precedent for firing them on day one if they haven’t resigned? I assume it’s never happened before because they’ve always resigned or there hasn’t been an issue?

I’m also tempted to sell out of some of them and try to buy back in on the next big KRAKEN news.

Don’t think anyone actually stuck around so no issue but that’s a good point

also decent chance trump is going to take or destroy anything of value on the way out

Yeah like for example he’d definitely fire a Stephen Miller who tried to stick around, but I could see Bipartisan Joe asking Azar (HHS) or Miller (Defense) to stick around until he gets someone confirmed. Maybe even Torture Queen Haspel herself.

I gambled on this LOL. Too little of volume to get much down at 2c though.

typically the deputy sticks around till this happens

but man this administration they gotta go asap too for the most part

also timing issues on yes for his nominees as some of them I’m not sure will get there by the deadline if people like ted cruz still plan on being a giant dick.

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Right, that too.

I’m just trying to roll out my Stephen Miller when it gets high enough and buy back in lower. I don’t want to risk getting stuck in the wrong yes markets lol

There will definitely be money to be made watching cabinet confirmations and market deadlines when republicans start their games of slow walking confirmations or spite killing nominations.

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i got in every cabinet one but the barr one, just on “NO” on MAGA, from prices ranging from 90 to 96. Got Barsa at 97 that was my worst one i guess

I went for the best MAGA prices first like Pompeo. Stonks etc

I just bought 20 no shares each for Education, State, Treasury, and HUD. That’s a placeholder that means I can buy up to 850 if I want to without getting locked out, right?