Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

Met with my girlfriend and sent in some electors.

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https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/4366

This is entirely due to maga people believing the GOP will go down in flames in GA because Kemp betrayed the former Emperor? I think I’m one of the more bullish people in the GA thread and I think they’re at 20% equity max.

polling has the GA race as a coinflip

so you’re probably right

play of the day was no faithless electors and to buy trump shares, who knew on the last one.

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Nevada shares in the 80’s

I COULD’VE SOLD THEM YESTERDAY BUT NOOOOOO

Lol my portfolio is down a few hundred bucks in the last few hours😂 Never give up, trumpers! It’ll turn any second now!

https://twitter.com/christina_bobb/status/1338580125303107584

lol

loooooooool what the fuck

didn’t see MI, NV did though.

They have till Jan 6th to figure out how to overturn the election however they do it.

or trump just declares martial law and the election invalid and the military and police are all on his side and what are you gonna do about it libs

Breaking:

Newly-created Even-More-Supreme Court has voted 9-0 to overturn the results of PA, MI, GA, WI, and NV!!!

^ Probably like a coinflip for this to happen right? They might as well go all-in on making shit up. Just start building a 2nd white house for Trump to live in.

Lol, NM. Where Trump won by (checks notes) negative 7 points.

call it the Beef Supreme Court and I’m in

image

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Nevada briefly hit 15c for Trump

:joy::joy::joy: that’s amazing. If predictit doesn’t close these markets soon it’s malpractice. They even sent out a statement saying they were settling state markets after the vote today. I wonder if the wrath of the trumpets will make them wait until Jan 20th… just because they feel like they can’t close markets in the high 80s/low90s.

There have got to be some subset of people living dangerously playing the penny stock game of constantly buying the maga position and then selling it as it rises and falls hoping to keep getting out before the bottom falls out.

Electoral count doesn’t happen until jan 6th so those won’t pay out till then at least.

https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1337829734521200645?s=20

The fox news prop will pay out tomorrow at least

State markets have nothing to do with the electoral college or electors.

The words elector or electoral are never mentioned in the rules.

For instance:
“The winner of the popular vote in Wisconsin for the 2020 general election for U.S. President shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract.”

I take it you bought a bunch of lol lotto tickets or are trying to play the swings, because there is zero legitimate reason the state markets are still open.

I think the reason they’re waiting is that if Trump manages to overturn the electoral votes, it will be because courts or Congress ruled that he won the popular vote. Of course he’s now got like a 1 in four quadrillion chance…