They only have to figure out a way to overturn 50k total votes in GA/AZ then the supreme court rules trump really won PA (or WI) and he’s POTUS suck it libs.
People forgot R’s are playing by calvinball rules as long as they get away with it. I figure it’s still 5% trump “wins”.
I feel like a time traveler.
His model got crushed by the prediction markets so he’s going with the strategy everyone greatly prefers online with doubling down on the attacks. Though he’s right Ohio was only like 75R, should’ve been 95+. lol prediction markets.
but like, the election isn’t over until the EC comes in, trump understands this, nate silver does not.
All of those things are extraordinarily unlikely.
Recounts change vote totals on the order of hundreds, not tens of thousands. And SCOTUS has zero interest in just saying “eh trump wins fuck it”
What are you guys picking up for Georgia vote margin? I know recounts usually only change the results by a few hundred. Is it safe buying Biden No’s for up to 10000, and more than 20000 votes? Is it less likely than 2% that will happen?
Those are the ones I bought. Seemed pretty safe, it would need like a ~5k swing one direction or another for any of those bins to resolve ‘Yes’. But ¯\(ツ)/¯
I also bought all the <60k Biden bins for PA and <10k Biden bins in WI, with order in for the >30k bins.
My profits have been dropping steadily the past ~36 hours or so, I think MAGA is making a resurgence on PredictIt. Hopefully we get some good new markets on Monday for more free $.
The ‘will Fox recall’ market makes no sense because it’s priced worse than the WI/MI/NV or PA/GA/AZ markets currently, so I’m avoiding. But it’s still one of the better deals available i think
maga did come back this weekend
btw bets aren’t about the recount totals–it’s whether courts decide that certain votes get thrown out.
might as well have a market for whether fox news exists soon now that a bunch of people think it’s too liberal and now need crazy town as their fix.
the not conceding market hit 82c for yes on the eve of the election, and I missed it hard sad. 94 no for 2 days isn’t bad tho.
Jesus MAGA money must be flooding into PredictIt because the electoral college combo vote is even cheaper than when I bought at -400
Yeah GOP to win the EC by a margin of 280+ is trading at 6% YES currently. (Which would have trump winning something like 410+ EVs)
Just pure insanity
It is a research experiment right? Could the site just be spending money to mess with people and see what they do?
no, these are actual people.
Just look at trump’s twitter and imagine there’s a world where that’s all they see, trump really won etc, fox news is going to die, those supporters have turned to more ridiculous stations.
we’re gonna regret missing fox news in the end, they at least acknowledged a fact once in awhile.
So it turns out the fairness doctrine was a pretty good idea
I know at least one person who legitimately believes Trump won and will be president for the next 4 years. Posted that hilariously fake all red map from “dominion servers” and would bet his entire net worth on Trump winning.
Read the comments. They 100% think Trump will win. They even mock liberals for not seeing how obvious it is that Trump will win.
Ugh is it really worth sticking in another $500 to max out no on trump to lose the main pres market when it’s at $.87?
how easy it is to put money on predict it? Haven’t done it.
Putting money on is easy. Not sure about withdrawing though.
ugh i don’t really need the money/hassle but seems like turning down free money is dumb.
like the predictit rules are on the pop vote, just lol come on
I’ve investigated a bit and determined its not worth it. Huge rake and low limits. It is, however, literal free money.
