Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

Yep should be about a month or so

Yeah it’s not as profitable as it was a few hours ago. I got in maxed at $760 to win $895.

Seems legit

https://twitter.com/MMetsola/status/1326614523378282498

2 Likes

It all seems ok except after betting E464,277 on Biden at 1.1 I don’t know why he doesn’t show the updated green figures, which is very odd, and he probably should have been asking for 1.11 as the WOM shows he stands a fair chance of getting matched.

I wish PI would start paying out some of these markets, but I guess they probably won’t for a while. You would think the popular vote market would be a safe payout by now lol

If the line is really “Next President” then Pence at 999:1 seems good. Trump resigning so Pence can pardon him or killing himself or dying of being an old, fat, sad fuck or doing something so heinous that he gets removed from office has to be better than .2%

1 Like

He posted a screenshot on his twitter. Looks like he bet 800k @ 1.1

https://twitter.com/MMetsola/status/1326904076366438402/photo/1

Yeah. He needs to keep backing Biden or laying Trump or he’ll kick himself.

Also, is Joe really less than 1/470 to croak before inauguration?

There’s only a few left they should pay out right now–they’ve done a good job with it this year. Vast majority within a day of when they should get paid out at worst.

That said, Ohio margin market is done, I would pay out NV but if they’re gonna be cautious that’s fine–rest is hold for now till certified, trump’s gonna throw so many lawsuits at everything they have to hold even though they’re all dumb as shit. (they could pay out NC too, that’s not happening) Jorgensen 3rd can be paid out too. I know I posted that free money in this thread but I bailed out because of more free money elsewhere.

I could see some decent trading around cabinet member appointments if R’s hold the senate. And maybe some decent indictment markets for Trump characters. That will probably be all to hold us over until 2022

Is there anywhere to see where your order is on the order book relative to the other bids at your price?

I was looking into that earlier, but couldn’t find anything. I don’t think you can.

Wish some of the markets would resolve. So I could churn the money through some 0.95 markets to offset some of the fees. Did a quick calculation earlier and I’ll lose almost a grand to fees…

Yes you can. If you click on a contract and click the prices tab, then click the price that you have an order in at, it will tell you how many shares are ahead of yours.

2 Likes

2 Likes

nice free extra $8 coming my way soon! that’s huge to be able to see the orders, great tip

What’s the deal with Wisconsin? Some sites are saying 98-99 % reporting. Safe to grab the Biden 30-35k or Biden 35k+ for 99c?

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1327436963658469376?s=19

10 Likes

Amazing

It’s shocking to think you can bet on something that already happened where the outcome is known.

What a world.