10% seems right to me, we’re still drawing live to the supreme court going “suck it libtards”
GA down to the mid 80s from some right wing stupidity I guess
that said odds here it doesn’t matter how stupid it is, R’s are in charge there they just have to do it.
edit–I maxed NV too soon, sigh. These people have a shit ton of money, economic anxiety is pure malarkey
Trump pop vote 95 NO for some reason
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Bovada sucks but c’mon, can you blame them? There’s hundreds of millions on the line. Imagine if they pay out and then Trump somehow dinks a second term?
They already paid out bets on things like the iowa caucus and refused to change their call.
Also, trump has 0 chance.
How much was wagered on the election?
What happens if Biden dies between now and 1/20? The SC bailed the GOP out in 2000. It can do it again. Yea its 0.000001% but it ain’t zero.
2000 is a ludicrous comparison. That was a few hundred votes in Florida. Reversing this election would require flipping 3 states that all are at least an order of magnitude, if not two, beyond that margin. It’s over. It’s done.
2000 was also a ruling against a selective recount of counties Gore thought was favorable. Ironically, he likely would have lost that count if he had gotten it, it was the statewide one he needed to win (IIRC). Nothing like that is going to happen.
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I get that. But this is Bovada with hundreds of millions on the line. I’m not agreeing with what they are doing. They said based on CNN or whatever. So they should honor bets. But I get why they aren’t.
i would never bet money on yes trump concedes the election before december 11 btw
I would bet money on no Trump doesn’t concede the election before December 11 2030.
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I don’t think he’ll use the word concede. But he’ll say something to the effect that he’s going to let it happen, even though he was robbed, for the good of the nation, even though he never gets any credit for all the good things, blah blah.
It will be his concession translated to Trumpism.
Well he’s obviously going to leave the White House, I think he’ll say something along the lines of what you said, not “for the good of the nation” though. He’s going to say like “They tell me I have to leave but it’s very unfair, very unfair, many people are saying”.
He speaks on Inauguration Day right? That’s going to be insane. I have no idea what that looks like.
I don’t think he’s showing up to the inauguration.
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A defeated president has no constitutional role in anything. He will not attend or speak at the inauguration.
As far as conceding, I think he does what allows him to raise the most money (not concede), but the pressure will increase as all the counts are finished and certified. Mitch may ultimately have to kneecap him, but Mitch will do what he thinks is best for the GA special (probably nothing).
Boycotts the inauguration, underlining its illegitimacy.
It’s not out of the question that the white house has its first squatter.
People seem to always forget that Trump has no backbone. He’s not going to be dragged out of the White House. That’s some hilarious neolib revenge porn shit.
As soon as it becomes obvious he really has no chance at getting anything overturned he’ll admit defeat. He might fuck shit up between now and January and he might not help Biden’s transition team, but he’s not going to be arrested or anything.
On the other hand, he’s stupid and he’s capable of thinking that there’s no way they would ever lay hands on him and physically drag him out of the White House, so him throwing a tantrum and having it blow up in his face is a totally realistic scenario that I can fap to.
WHat in the fuck is going on with these predictit prices
Biden PA under 90
Biden to win (all the markets) under 90
??
Jesus. I just logged on to see if I could snag some. “We have reached the maximum number of traders on this contract” is killing me right now.