Pretty big shift in the GA line, down around 80c now. Have new updates come in?
‘Missing military ballots’ , no idea. I tried to load up but the GOP market is now full and Dem market is still trading at 85c lol
about this on one site I did start counting, but I have way more on GA than I thought and the senate specials can still swing some more so I stopped.
I think bitcoin went up more than I got out of some free money bets so lol me there on bovada.
Electoral College Margin of Victory 100-149 at 2c right now, i just grabbed 1000 shares. Not sure if lighting $20 on fire or not but afaik Biden isn’t 50-1 dog in NC. Hmm maybe a bad bet still
They’re not going to disappear. They are not some shady grey market betting site. They’re operated by a reputable university and cleared all sorts of regulatory hurdles with the US government.
I’m in that too, but got in around 5 or 6c a while back. I have pretty much written it off but I’m holding it for shits and giggles
My estimate is that Biden needs to run at 77% to 83% to win, which I don’t think is likely but you never know. I had it at 15%, but we need like 70% of those mail-ins to arrive and half the provisionals to be counted.
So basically the aggregate polling data was off by two sigma but we all made a boatload of money because Predicit’s lines were off by four-five sigma
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was gonna say this
but it just moved after i shoved
was an equivalent of AZ-YES for 0.89
Was gonna say unless you find scalping fun like I do, just leave your money parked and don’t stress. But there’s probably a few hundred to be made clicking buttons while you read the news.
Trump is still at .10 somehow.
lol and aside from that you can still scalp NOs if you have ovaries of steel
thats one to scalp at .03 imo
I might’ve been the only person on the planet who had biden to win and the house to lose seats.
Only regret is I didn’t get more down on some house races like NY-22 R or Ohio/Florida red. I didn’t fire the amount to match that confidence. I put way more than I should’ve on GA blue but GOT THERE.
Too many people took the polls as literal rather than as a tool to use.
recapping
Bad losses–Susan Collins (how does that shit still work), Texas (I think the final numbers are only gonna be off 2 mine, but that is enough to swing odds in elections, that 50 or whatever point swong that one county had I knew would be like 5-10 worse but wtf got me good, assuming that was oil country?). FL to get called day 1, this was a bad beat–there was no reason to not call that. The flier on Montana. Bitcoin going up more than vs the money of some bets I made with depositing it.
BIG WINS–Georgia, Biden, Biden from the primary (I forgot I did this), getting free money on a lot of stuff, Ohio, Florida, basically every state really, MN-07 was a free one too.
Wins clobbered the losses bigly victory.
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i thought i was getting free money in MI at 95 but now its 92, the race was called and Biden leads by like 3%, lmao. just insanity. never would have expected a called state outside of recount range to be that low
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i’m just pissed they haven’t called it because i put all my gambool monies on the election. Want to donk it up on cfb.
PI starting to settle shit, got my MN monies and um did not get my TX monies.
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lmao you are new here
I blew it too though, I rebought GA before biden took the lead and it’s less than that
PI has already settled most of the 10+ margin markets. They’ve done good work.
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I got my TX monies. Bet on Rs winning purely because of feelings.
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