Wait, someone actually reads the replies to all those campaign texts?
Not one single persuadable voter watched or cares about the VP debate. They do however listen to call her daddy and Howard Stern.
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I click āReport Junkā then āDelete and Report Junkā on the mass texts. The ones that are like āHi, itās Joe with the blah blah blahā I just ignore.
If you are betting on Bovada you are almost certainly a losing sports bettor. Those people are just naturally going to trend deplorable. Itās basically a site for GREEAR types.
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yeah Iāve responded to a couple of them, mostly to tell them to go fuck themselves and that buying my phone number from act blue is a great way to make sure I never fucking donate to any democrat ever again
Ok sure but literally every book on earth has moved.
Also I think itās strange you are talking about persuadable voters as if they exist. This is (as always) about turnout and what we are seeing is an enthusiasm shift which is what is concerning. Kamalaās campaign had been fine but has struggled to get a lot of big traction recently. Stern and podcasts mattering more than thw VP debate for normies is one hell of a hot take. Neither matter much imo.
Fear sells. Sometimes itās justified and sometimes it isnāt. Inflation. Crime. COVID. Global warming. Immigration. Democracy dying.
āThings are fineā can never compete with āthings are going to hellā in the media.
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100% this and there have been events that are feeding into this like the hurricanes. FEMA being short on funds AND some trivial amount of money being used on undocumented immigrants is an easy sell to the fearful that somehow Kamala siphoned off all the FEMA money and now people in the SE are screwed. It doesnāt matter if itās true at all. People donāt understand the difference between millions and billions and the fact it has some very minor factual cover and is 99% bullshit doesnāt matter at all.
Meanwhile the Dems let Trump off the hook for a myriad of crimes including trying to overturn the last election. How can anyone not paying attention think itās that serious if they canāt even pull off a politically motivated consequence. People donāt understand the Dems did this out of cowardice because the narrative to many is that they are radical communists.
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Iāve never really understood this claim. There were a significant number of Obama-Trump voters, and I assume (although Iām having trouble finding evidence one way or the other) that there were a significant number of Trump-Biden voters in 2020.
What makes you say there arenāt persuadable voters out there? Do you mean that no one who voted for Trump in 2020 is going to vote for Harris in 2024? Or do you mean that at this late point in the election cycle, there are no remaining persuadable voters left? The latter seems more plausible, but I still donāt think itās accurate for low-info and relatively unengaged voters.
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In two more series, he could be a huge winning type.
(but how much did he lose?)
Iām a little concerned about the far-left contingent who wonāt vote for āgenocidalā Harris. Hopefully Iām just terminally online and itās a very small faction of otherwise Dem voters, but we saw how slim the margins were four years ago.
from what i can tell, every book follows poly for the most part
Her biggest problem with that will be in Michigan. I wouldnāt characterize that as a āfar-leftā problem.
Update: found this:
How much of the movement is due to the repotting of Polymarket moving right? Im not trying to unskew anything here, but it seems to be a āfollow the leaderā type deal witha bunch of rubes likely getting fleeced. Ties in a bit to what we were talking about in another thread on the mediaās coverage producing perceptions
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I canāt speak for Wichita but this is approximately how I feel about it. More precisely, there are an insignificant amount of undecided voters who will be swayed by statements like "Iām going to put a republican in my cabinet etc
People change their votes, but I bet the influences on that are more gradual and are more likely to be from friends and family than from Dems catering even more to the right
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Yeah agreed with this. The idea that āOctober surprisesā cause some big shift in voting is absurd to me. We can all bitch about Comey in 2016, but what really sunk Hillary in October was not spending every cent she had in GOTV measures in the rust belt. Simple as that.
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Dude has his Jordan Klepper voice down pat.
I thought ChatGPT wouldnāt answer political questions like that?