2024 US Presidential Election (Taylor's Version)

Some are impossible.

How could these all be true?

Age 18-29 = Harris +20.7
Age 30-44 = Harris +13
Age 18-34 = Harris +7.2

45-64 and 50-64 hella suspect also

Based on just those I’d be inclined to ignore all the data presented.

It seems inevitable that black voters are going to become less monolithic Democratic supporters over time, the 90% numbers Clinton and Gore were putting up surely aren’t sustainable. Although darned if Republicans aren’t mashing the racism button as hard as they can.

Age 35-44 = Harris +40 or so?

What’s really probably happening is the guy is just averaging different numbers of polls haphazardly and your inclination to ignore this chart entirely is very likely the correct move.

Either that or Kamala came out with a policy that 1% of all 30-34 year olds will be euthanized. That’s about the only way those #s could be accurate.

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image

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Different polls, those 18-34 ones were posted a while back and were super suspect. Polls around the convention from one pollster that showed Trump and Harris tied, but Trump winning the 18-34 category.

You have one subset of polls that lumps 18-29 together and entirely different subset of polls that lumps 18-34 together.

https://x.com/jmart/status/1836798144706752597

For those not following this closely, Robinson is the GOP candidate

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Who, even among GOP candidates for anything, is truly a freak and a weird dude.

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You might remember him from this rant a few months ago:

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Maybe he’s a serial killer. That would cost him some votes.

https://x.com/RussOnPolitics/status/1836800552602149005

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:popcorn:

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Swap him with Colin Robinson

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which they say involves activity on adult websites in 2000s.

:vince3:

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No, keep him in.

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Probably good for GOP in NC. Now they get to shed a true weirdo and get bunch of free attention leading up to the election

Oppo should have waited a few more weeks

Maybe the oppo wasn’t from Democrats.

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Is this a spot where the down-ballot race influences the presidential race? vicmeme.jpg

Given what Robinson has already survived through, can you imagine how bad this must be? :popcorn:

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