https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1820569445292802319?s=46
Trump just doesn’t lead most of these anymore. State polls matter more, but obviously there tends to be a correlation.
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Bria Beddoe, 31, who is African American and Trinidadian, said she had mixed feelings about Harris and was hesitant to give her full support to the candidate. She said she doesn’t support Harris’ past criminal justice policies as a district attorney and she doesn’t think President Joe Biden is doing enough to support Gaza. But she said Trump’s rhetoric helped to change her perspective.
“I was not super on board for Kamala Harris being the presidential candidate, but then when I saw the way that they were slandering her and the things that they chose to slander her about, it definitely made me more sympathetic to her … and made me want to support her,” she said.Beddoe, who lives in Washington, D.C., said she’s experienced similar ridicule and disbelief over her Black, Indian, Chinese and Portuguese roots. As a result, Beddoe said, she sympathizes with Harris and the ways she’s been racialized throughout her political career.
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My 15 year old was very annoyed today that Trump appeared with some jackass streamer and apparently listened to someone? something? called nettspend.
adin ross. he streams to mostly teenagers from what i understand. he’s extremely unintelligent if it’s not some kind of bit. he streams on kick the rightwing/edgelord version of twitch. kick is basically a front to get young people addicted to online gambling through streaming. it was founded by an online gambling company after twitch started to crack down on it i believe… they pay out some huge contracts and mostly try not to moderate too much.
he also famously sniffed andrew tate’s chair after he finished interviewing him.
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I’m curious why GA and NC are so different here in terms of win-if-win-state; they’re similar demographics, both 16 EVs, and 538’s chance to win for Harris doesn’t seem so different (43% GA, 39% NC). Seems like she should be having a great night if she picks up either of them.
I @'d Silver on Twitter to ask. Only theory I can come up with is maybe it’s to do with the fact that Atlanta is so dominant in GA and that makes it swingier.
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These Kamala ads have me thoroughly K-pilled. Music selections are lit.
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feels like it’s bc if she wins georgia she doesn’t necessarily win nc, but if she wins nc she’s really likely to be winning ga?
are the demographics the same? what demographics? and how much does the gerrymandering in nc matter?
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wat
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Well, I sure hope this is their only path to victory, because I think the decision desk could start making some calls.
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I don’t see how she doesn’t ship if she wins either NC or GA. I’m not basing this on facts, but based on my intuition and years of immersing myself in electoral shit. Nevertheless, I’m quite confident.
I’ll lay odds that if Kamala ships either, then she wins. If anyone wants the other side of that, let me know and we can talk details.
Unfortunately, I’m resigned to the fact that Kamala is losing both and Orange Man is going to be President again.
I flipped. I think Kamala is going to win.
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https://twitter.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820531242741235788
This one is not great, imo. What are you trying to accomplish? It seems the main effect will be to remind Orange Man that he needs to campaign more.
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