I agree with that
I’m just working 100% backwards from “what’s the best chance to win?” Which of course is a hypothetical candyland. And you’re absolutely right that if a mini convention went bad, it would backfire bigtime.
But dems are in such a hole that it feels like they really need to shake the national etch-a-sketch. I’m not gonna attempt some range vs range equity calculation because I’d suck at that, but to my causal politics brain a coronated Kamala just doesn’t seem like a very strong candidate (for example in swing states). This isn’t a persuasion election it’s an enthusiasm election.
Any reasonable mini-convention would have to start weeks before Chicago. But I can at least imagine how it might go: a series of individual national tv interviews, a debate, another debate, a bee beard competition…it would cause an unbelievable amount of (I’m sorry) buzz. People would be riveted, it would suck the oxygen out of trump’s rallies, and the whole thing would close at chicago with our champion’s speech, which could be given from a festooned podium or perhaps the iron throne, where our nominee could be surrounded by all their vanquished colleagues / fellow americans, who we’d know were all thrilled to be vanquished because of how widely and believably they were smiling, having all been repeatedly electroshocked, and having all been welcomed to the stage for this supreme keynote address by none other than the dulcet and dignified tones of hologram joe
It’s easier for me to imagine whoever emerges from this uniquely american spectacle as a person who could get max asses into the booths—including Kamala btw, who I think in this world would be a far stronger candidate than she is now. And we’ll have to figure out how to handle all the protests going on outside, but what could go wrong? it’s Chicago.
this president pageant could make a lot of the electorate feel involved again, with a shared (and ceaselessly repeated) goal of ultimately getting behind one candidate. Which also seems like a potential problem with current kamala; e.g. in that upthread poll we were split down the middle, and even though everybody voting there will show up to vote for a coronated kamala if that’s what happens, what we do doesn’t much matter in an enthusiasm election that will be won in large part on what low-propensity voters do.
finally the most important benefit to this democratic party gras is that for a few weeks the whole country would be focused on a parade of different & younger voices, who together would be refocusing our collective attention away from this whole fucking mess and directly on the only thing that matters: i.e. total shit for brains donald trump
btw I would also be very proud to back the nomination of President Tay-Tay. I just want to win. And if there is a bee beard contest, then it’s President Oprah’s to lose.
I know you just want to win too. The bottom line is I have doubts that an untested Kamala is strong enough and at this point I’d rather roll the dice, in large part because the strongest theoretical version of someone like Whitmer seems so awfully strong to me. She’s a badass woman in an abortion election who seems to win not only the votes but also the allegiance of these swing voter michiganders again & again and who is also a SA survivor in an election against an obscene rapist. But I’m wrong all the time about everything and either way we’re never gonna know, so whatever happens, I sure hope we win, or else everybody’s gonna be blaming each other forever, which is a shame since the actual blame should be laid one hundred percent at the feet of joe biden and his band of sycophants who in a sane world would have announced at least a year ago that he was withdrawing, so we could have had a proper primary instead of whatever the fuck this is because even in the best of all worlds: right now we’re on the ropes.
but we’re not dead yet