He can have NH as long as we get Iowa
Maybe the top tier of subscribers get it early.
Just watched. Same bit. The only major change is he opens with “This guy being the president is like a horse loose in a hospital”. He didn’t open with that in Montreal. he just went into it then the audience slowly becomes aware that he’s talking Trump. The crowd had to take a minute then we realized where it was going. I do prefer it without the setup.
1 Like
Oh it is there just no blurb written yet.
lolllllllllllllll
“Silver will predict Trump to win” bettors on Polymarket can justifiably feel trolled
1 Like
lolz
4 Likes
He ran it 80000 time and it came up kamala 40012.
Also if he think polls are hedging, how can he feed his model hedge polls
2 Likes
He penalizes pollsters for herding. Obviously there’s nothing he can do about the root of the problem though.
1 Like
But 100% of Nate Silver being right
1 Like
2 Likes
It might be fish thinking but i really doubt these elections are 50-50. We are just lacking real info because the polling had been shit, maybe because there is no way to reliably poll anymore.
If you run these elections a million times, it wont actually be 50-50. It just looks that way to his model.
All Nate is saying is he has no fucking clue, like all of us.
4 Likes
So the funniest thing is if Harris somehow pulls off a massive landslide is both trump AND silver look like complete fools and are almost certainly run out of whatever respective businesses they purport to be in.
2 Likes
Way too many spiked footballs ITT for comfort.
12 Likes
Listen we’re either winning or this is the last chance for good vibes for a while. Let’s get wasted and enjoy what we’ve got while we’ve got it.
4 Likes
I’ll drink to that.
7 Likes
6 Likes