2024 US Presidential Election: First Polls Close in 24 Hours

Really strange Trump ad after the football game. It was Trump staring into the camera with inspirational music in the background. It was basically just a dialog explaining why America sucks and is broken but the inspirational music just seems super out of place.

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https://x.com/Wilson__Valdez/status/1853274572058964101

https://x.com/Wilson__Valdez/status/1853278348534800880

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Despite all of this, how the fuck can it be so close?

win or lose, WAAF.

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What’s worse, dementia or CTE?

So this guy Ryan Fournier, who is the chair of Students for Trump, claimed to have gotten an email from a secret source with some extra spicy internal polling, hot off the presses.

Someone had the idea of ramping up the brightness on the image to reveal who it was that actually sent this email to Ryan Fournier.

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https://x.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1853178635567481263

Fuck these assholes.

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I like how he put Harris up in one poll just to make it look realistic.

Also doesn’t Trump +3 in Iowa correlate to Harris easily winning the blue wall? Like he should have made it Iowa +9 or something, right?

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Yeah the Iowa number seems to reveal a certain level of SHOOKNESS at the Selzer poll. Agreed on the one Harris lead, nice touch.

https://x.com/atrupar/status/1853117368328704188?t=KhQYcdSBIEWJ-goyXxkQzQ&s=19

https://x.com/mehdirhasan/status/1852915362297475262?t=OeEhaCQ6p6IrPwwEYTAGqw&s=19

List way too short imo

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if they fk with it, it would be pre moreso than post (not excluding herding). e.g. they are analyzing pros and cons of methodology/weighting and give tiebreakers to stuff that would help trump nums because that’s simply better EV for them

https://x.com/katieshowland/status/1853231812430242101

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So. As we approach the stretch. I’m reflecting on why I’m so invested.

On the one hand. I’m just a political junky who gets dopamine out of the long running reality TV show of American politics.

On the other. The more I learn about climate change and climate change policy, the more clear it is that this election is one of the few elections that could have impacts for 1000s of years.

Like the planetary and human EV of this election is disastrous.

Vibe report.

Political junky vibe. Good
Climate change nerd vibe. Poor to very poor.

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In a way I’m with Trump on this. Tired AF and just want it to be over already.

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Lots of hopium around here.

Anyone want to give the Chiefsplanet update? How confident are they feeling over there?

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Prob pretty confident. The Bucs did beat the Lions in Detroit though. Election focus can begin immediately post-game.

r/conservative

I’ve been pretty stressed over the past three days. Over-analyzing early voting data, looking at voter demographic trends, studying spreadsheets from Iowa, reading news articles that confirm my political worldview… etc.

The polls are more or less neck and neck, but as we know, the Trump voters tend to not show up in polling data, or in Wisconsin’s case, lie to pollsters about who they are voting for. I expect this to be the case come Tuesday. Everyone says "oh yeah, they’re compensating for Trump this time, it will be accurate… " blah blah. I don’t buy it. We know these people look at Trump supporters with disdain. The result of the election is more important to them than journalistic integrity. They have no issue with being totally wrong three straight times.

Regardless, the vibe of this election just feels… different. I can’t explain it. 2020 there was an unstoppable blue wall of Biden support. It felt evident even before the election, with Covid. I still thought Trump would win.

What about 2022? Again, Democrats controlled the “vibes” because of the Dobbs decision, as well as garbage Trump candidates in the swing states. MAGA was a clown show at this point.

And yet, two years later, Americans still can’t afford to pay rent, illegal immigrants are still killing people, and the world is on fire. The incumbent party has offered no plan to solve this. They have even stated that they will change nothing.

This is not a victory lap. Call off work to get to the polls. Act like we’re 10points down. But I can’t be the only one who feels the vibe difference of this election compared to the last one. Thoughts?

https://www.reddit.com/r/Conservative/comments/1gixjol/does_it_feel_different_this_time/

Why is re-education such a bad thing for idiots like this

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