In a famously great year for dems; winning without Trump on the ticket is very different than winning with him on it. I’m not ruling out a win for him but based on polling and the state environment in general he’s certainly a dog.
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In 2018 in a massive blue wave election largely seen as a backlash to Trump.
Trump was not on the ballot. Midterms are different animals imo.
No Democrat has ever won a senate seat in a state where Trump won the state’s electoral votes.
Just confirms that Kamala is shipping Texas along with Allred.
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It makes sense that an awful candidate who will do nothing for the people of Montana beats a guy who’s been doing stuff for the people of Montana for 12 years. We’ll see.
But that didn’t happen in the Senate
Until now…
The awful candidate has an R next to his name though.
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That’s good news
for John McCain
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You have to look at this more like Brown’s though. These guys are outliers in deep red states.
It’s certainly possible. Montana is kinda weird.
But it’s very clear why he’s considered a dog in this race.
Well here’s hoping you’re right.
Yes and no. The 2018 (so also the 2024) senate map is terrible for Dems. We lost Indiana and Florida which have been shifting red for a while. But flipped AZ and Nevada and now those seats are at risk in 2024. The senate can’t be flipped every 2 years in a wave election the way the house can, you’re at the mercy of which seats are available. Senate dems in 2018 outperformed national trends by vote margin, even if the net result was no gain.
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lol was waiting for some replies before doing just that. Well done!
NV senate is not at risk. That would be the biggest upset today if it happens.
And don’t forget AZ is Kari Lake. She can’t win s*it.
It is a terrible map, but the GOP is so terrible the dems should still hold the senate. We’ll see.
In and out in five minutes, no line at all 
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Montana
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Election Day feels insane now because so many people have already voted but we realistically don’t start getting any results for another 10 hours