2024 Election POST MORTEM

Meaningless imo. Rural counties are always the first to report 100%, this just reflects ongoing increased polarization. It’s the reddest areas of a red state. It’s like saying Kamala is going to crush if she carries NY by another 3 points.

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is this comparing to 2020? which number is which year?

You don’t have a way to block calls and texts? Here we can set our phone so only a human can call as you need to push a random button each time to get through.

2020–>2024

If Kamala can win WI PA MI which I think shes ahead in all 3. She can basically lose everything thats close and still reach exactly 270 which I think is a very possibly outcome.

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Anything from a non swing state needs to be taken with a massive grain of salt too.

https://x.com/ap/status/1853683696416502050?s=61&t=CwVKdl7e5GoYqphDmQHrPg

RFK makes his closing argument to the voters.

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Calls are not the issue, it’s the texts. All I would need is a keyword text blocker, but that seems not to exist.

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I get the feeling people on Polymarket are literally trading GA based on topline state-wide numbers. It’s declined 10c since I bought it on basically no information. We have no results at all from Cobb, Fulton and DeKalb counties, for example.

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I was listening to a podcaster today who said it’s really hard to do whale bio research because once they beach they decompose very quickly and all I could think of was RFK.

You mean Nuzzi

My Motorola with att Auto dumps political texts into a spam folder.

Florida really is a totally lost cause. Only a 3.4% spread in 2020, will be 10+ this time. A lot of what is left is the bigly Trump areas in the panhandle that haven’t even closed the polls yet.

I don’t think we can just toss away the Florida shift as it just being a terrible state.

The shift is towards Trump. All he needs is a small shift in a couple places and it’s over.

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btc up 5%, uh oh

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How excited are you?

Ya, It’s certainly possible we are seeing the tip of a much larger trend. Hopefully not.

Not at all

Markets moving back to Trump. Terrible vibes. It feels joever.

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This is 2016.

DJT stock up 30% after hours.

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