2024 Election POST MORTEM

Claire McCaskill really, really fucking sucks. Why oh why does she still exist on media?

Miami-Dade Trump +11 lol

Vibes back. Seriously fuck Florida. That places has branded itself as maga haven. Itā€™s gone. Ignore everything coming out of that state. And Iā€™m not just talking about elections.

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Results look good in GA to me tbh.

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Yea same from what Kornacki showing

Equivocal anyway. Like I said earlier, pay zero attention to Florida. It might as well be a different country.

I think partial results are going to be super hard to decipher due to the shifts in early and absentee voting vs. 2020.

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Would love to see the geoguessr guy Trevor Rainbolt do an election night live stream.

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Itā€™s been great watching so many deplorable shitstains Ive known the last several years leave CA for florida, only to find out their cost of living isnt that much better, and they have much shittier weather + natural disasters, worse schools, not even to mention the food is dogshit compared to CA. A few ended up coming back to CA. Itā€™s very funny watching the rationalizations come crashing down. Itā€™s really the worst state, I would live literally fucking anywhere else

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I think itā€™s so hard to understand what the early/eday splits should be. I have no way of parsing it.

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Holy moly, just saw a candidate ad for 2026 California governors race on CNN. Must have been bought from the cable company, but still, cā€™mon man.

Itā€™s this plus a lot of the right NYC-adjacent folks pulling Florida hard right post-COVID. Chris is right, Florida is unattainable.

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Fuck me. I may change my phone number if there isnā€™t a sustained break from these texts, Iā€™m serious.

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I have had success reducing poltical texts by persistently replying ā€œstopā€ for a few weeks.

I gotta say the early results look very much like what you would have expected based on the polling. Seems like we might be in for a long night (few days). Hopefully that is not the case but a Harris blowout does not seem like itā€™s in the cards based on the limited amount of data we have so far.

Still think Harris will ship the rust belt and the presidency.

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What if part of it is Cubans hating Puerto Ricans?

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Iā€™m going to be posting pure, un-fact checked info and I donā€™t care.

https://x.com/umichvoter/status/1853955658141315103

This feels not great, Bob

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Osceola FL (1/3 Puerto Rican)
2016: D +25
2020: D +14
2024: D +3 (71%)

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I appreciate sum-up posts like these, because while Iā€™m here following things like a madman, Iā€™m not knowledgable enough about counties and trends and bla and bla to really have any idea of whatā€™s going on. I am just a euro boy, to quote Simon & Garfunkel.

My personal take is that we are right where you would have expected to be based on the polling. Poll unskewers are the big losers of the night so far.

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