2024 Election POST MORTEM

I know you’re talking about like the 90s, but thinking about stats teams, that’s like the As in the 2000s, but, and I’m speculating, The Big Red Machine was kind of a stats team and '75 '76 one of the best teams in baseball history.

I really want to believe this (and in my heart I do believe it).

But I can’t get the fact that we got burned in 2016, then barely survived in 2020 out of my head.

I don’t disagree

Because D’s are the incumbents and he wasn’t a black woman.

Over on the Trump side they’re eating the flies.

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https://x.com/tysonbrody/status/1853805852307677654?s=46&t=hICOYYyCHuimCJQWftVfBQ

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How was abortion as a part of the ballot doing in 2020? All priors can be thrown away.

Mystery is the spice of life.

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You just cited 2020 results.

Kamala election results

ezgif-7-c7e42679b0

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Whoever wins is a favorite to get 300+ because swing states aren’t going to split down the middle, but are going to go together (not because super correlated, but because whatever systemic reasons like polling skews, late breaking undecideds, get out the vote efforts, etc.)

I’m way more nervous than I thought I’d be. I’m going to be absolutely devastated if Trump wins.

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yeah, but 2016/2020 wasn’t post-roe

women are breaking hugely for harris and their turnout is beating men
young people are polling like 20 points ahead for harris and their turnout is crushing it so far

abortion on the ballot is basically undefeated since roe fell; even a 70% trump district in Alabama voted for a dem in special election specifically because of Roe

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Thinking of you and your kids. You can have a corner of our Costa Rican commune if he wins.

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Uh as an example of EC votes. This time isn’t better for Trump.

First electoral college update

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Ok, we’ll see if it is or isn’t, I guess. Someone asked how we were feeling and I answered how I was feeling. Honestly didn’t expect a debate about that.

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I feel like you have to make this joke later in the day. It makes the joke better because it is more plausible.

In about 6 hours you make the joke about NC and GA. Then 6 hours after that you hit AZ and NV.

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I will forever own this card
image
(for those of you blessed to not have spent all your childhood money on baseball cards, the photo is reversed)

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