2023 US Elections - Prelude to 2024

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1671358453577662466?t=NiUP6SfUGO9jAhZssgRN9Q&s=19

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Whew - pro-police candidate lost the prosecutors race to reform incumbent.

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Just a reminder that jUsT vOtE hARder leftists are CORRECT that electing moderate democrats is fool’s gold and we need to accelerate this motherfucker to get meaningful change:

I’m trying to figure out if you’re saying what Hobbs did was a bad thing or a good thing.

I’ll be clear: it’s a good thing.

It’s a great thing.

The first 2023 election of 2024

I’m stuck at home today watching local coverage of the “blizzard” and literally every commercial is about this race

Thank you Long Island

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So long as you ignore Biden polls, everything it looking great so far for Dems in 2024. Doing well in most special and local elections. My hopium from last night is that Suozzi did well amongst voters that dislike both Biden and Trump, so maybe when it comes down to time to actually vote, we see lots hold their nose and go Biden.

From 538:

While Suozzi looks to be en route to a 6-to-7 point victory, it’s pretty clear he won among an electorate that had an unfavorable view of Biden: 57 percent of likely voters had an unfavorable view of the president in a Siena College/Newsday survey of the special election, but Suozzi led by 4 points, not too different from his actual win. And revealingly, nearly one-fourth of Suozzi’s supporters had an unfavorable view of Biden. Now, Suozzi has a long-established political profile on Long Island that likely won over some voters displeased with Biden. But at the same time, this suggests that Biden — despite his 38 percent approval rating — might still be able to win over some of the voters who are frustrated with the status quo, especially in a “choice” election between him and Trump.

I say this because we saw something like this in the 2022 midterm elections, when the exit poll found that Democrats narrowly won among those who somewhat disapproved of Biden’s job performance. This was a notable shift from the 2010 and 2014 midterms, when those who somewhat disapproved of Barack Obama backed Republicans by some distance. Right now, Biden is running about even or even slightly behind Trump in the polls, so a major question will be whether some voters who are unhappy with Biden but voted for Democrats in recent elections might still go for him by the time we get to November.

I think there will be a lot of people like this. Shit, I’m one of them.

Has Biden done some good things? Yes.
Am I very unhappy with some things he’s done? Yes.
Do I wish he would have said he was not running again a year ago? Yes.
Is he better than Trump? God, yes.
Will I reluctantly vote for him? Yes.

I’m not in a swing state, but I have to imagine there are many like me.

I’ve still got Biden as the favorite.

(Only because it’s Trump though. I think Haley wafflecrushes.)

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Democrats couldn’t rig an election if they wanted to