It’s definitely possible. I think even likely. Goff throws a wobbly ball at times though, but from this angle there was a defender with his hands up and the ball seemed to drop faster than expected. But counterpoint, you’re an NFL receiver and this is where your hands and ball meet. Should be trivial.
did you go into the rabbit hole a bit on how they actually work? seriously asking, I never have of course. i can think of many ways where a twitter account ‘go for it’ estimation would be pretty much within the margin of error for many close decisions.
I feel like there’s maybe a peter principle thing going on. I’m enjoying the results of a former player/players coach paired with the young offensive mind in Dan Campbell/Ben Johnson.
Basically any model you could build will be within the margin of error on “close” decisions for a number of reasons. However, the Xchan folks seem to think that the models aren’t baking all future states of the game into the calculation–which would be like a chess engine that sees zero moves ahead. Like Burke says that makes absolutely no sense except to people doing their own chemtrails research apparently. The other trope was that you can’t quantify a team’s psychological mindset after failing to convert.
The missed tripping call on Jones was horrendous. Should have been a safety. But of course they didn’t mention it on the broadcast because it didn’t fit whatever narrative Tony was blathering about at the time.