2023 LC Thread - It was predetermined that I would change the thread title (Part 1)

https://twitter.com/SchottHappens/status/1600344787613196289?t=Avy8ah9AbU07GV8Ue75NuA&s=19

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Yeah that’s something you could just not report at all.

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Or at least don’t fucking tag him in the tweet.

EDIT: tweet has been deleted.

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five-minute thing you guys might like
http://confidence.success-equation.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

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image

I’m basically a robot

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After having similar happen to my child at the same age, I, almost unbelievably, find myself with sympathy in my heart for Ted fucking Cruz.

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I despise the man but there are many people in the world worse than Ted. Even though I expect him to criticize the media and use this for political gain, I still feel bad for the man, his daughter, and his family. It’s complicated.

I’m sorry to hear you went through something similar.

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I just hung out with a bunch of friends for a bday thing and of the ones with kids between say 8 and 18, like two-thirds of them had ongoing, awful stories about childraising that they trace directly to covid. I know this isn’t a new idea (and I think many of yall have posted poignantly about it on unstuck) but hearing them all together and seeing a bunch of people who imo are overall thoughtful and chill and wonderful (and it must be said privileged) get frankly unnerved about how hard the pandemic has been and about what it might mean to their kids’ future quality of life was memorable to say the least

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yeah tbh I’m prob too much of a pussy to have posted that unless I felt decent about my results too

Mean confidence: 79.20%
Actual percent correct: 84.00%

Mean confidence on correct answers: 81.19%
Mean confidence on incorrect answers: 68.75%

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I suffer from the Dunning Kruger

Mean confidence: 79.20%
Actual percent correct: 70.00%

Mean confidence on correct answers: 81.43%
Mean confidence on incorrect answers: 74.00%

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This is repulsive.

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I would have guessed I’d be under-confident.

Calibration score

Mean confidence: 77.00%
Actual percent correct: 58.00%
Mean confidence on correct answers: 80.69%
Mean confidence on incorrect answers: 71.90%

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Also, I’m embarrassed to say that I had the brief thought, ā€œWait, why can’t I choose a lower confidence level than 50%?ā€.

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Well apparently I don’t know history, geography, or politics.

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Yeah. This gets you a week off. Literally my only ban ever and probably will be my only one ever

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77% 78%

And frankly I got robbed on the Pistons question they won the title in 2004 over the Malone/Payton Lakers, I knew that 100%, I just wasn’t sure if reigning champion was a thing for the 04-05 season, but decided that maybe so very few people would know that it was in 2004, that it wouldn’t make sense to fake people out by 1 year so I said true 90%

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You are possibly unaware but it’s traditional to update the ā€œLog of key moderator actionsā€ thread when banning someone.

Some of you know who Naomi Wu is - engineer who looks like a sex worker (her words) and excellent twitter follow who seems to always have something interesting to say. Yes I noticed the boobs first, but I’ve been a fan for things other than the boobs for a while.

Anyway this video is one of the most touching fascinating things I’ve ever seen - on a bunch of different levels. In a given year I sit through maybe 3 longish youtubes in their entirety. This one had me riveted. I learned a ton about her, lesbian archetypes, and how tough life in China can be. Basically her parents raised her as a boy until she was 16 for reasons that are better explained in the video.

She dishes it out but can’t take it.