I thought we were talking about 0/4. It’ll happen every 2000 times at 85%. How many games does a team even score four touchdowns? Got to be maybe 20% of games? Maybe less. So maybe you only have 50 games a year where it happens. So yeah 0/4 would probably be way rarer than my intuition even if they kicked from the 37 back in olden days.
But then it’s going to be like double yolks, missing isn’t going to be normally distributed. If you’ve got a guy missing multiple extra points he’s hurt or has the yips or whatever.