2022 Midterm Elections (Abandon hope all ye who enter here) butnahhh. or maybe?

Soooo what happens with Ukraine if the GOP takes both House and Senate exactly? Asking as a neighbor of Russia.

The fact we donā€™t have many polls being posted here alongside Vince memes is an ominous sign.

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Swell

At best, future Ukrainian aid probably needs to be offset by domestic spending cuts. This probably true if the Rs win just the House.

If they still follow the Hastert Rule (which I assume they still call it that because lol) then there will never be Ukrainian aid again because thereā€™s no way they get to 218 on their side with all the psychopaths. Same with pretty much anything else. Ds better get that debt ceiling and government funded extended as far as they can in the lame duck, but weā€™re perma-fucked either way since this will be a permanent R house majority. Or if not permanent, certainly lasting for most of the rest of our lives.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1584516716973129728

https://adaptershack.com/t/butts/butt.holdings_hold-onto-your-butts.gif

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LOL - Dems (including Biden) are out there saying they in fact will not end this debt ceiling nonsense because it would be ā€œirresponsible.ā€

Folks planning on voting next month?

Seriously are there people here planning to sit this one out? My sense is that D voter turnout at about 0 is the only way to bring about change.

Iā€™m guessing the lesson they would take away from that is that they need to move further to the right.

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Maloney in trouble. Not a shock, he sucks.

Iā€™m planning on it, but I only have the federal congressional race on my ballot, the R is projected to win >99% on 538, and the D running in opposition isnā€™t anyone I really care about casting a symbolic vote for.

I am, though pretty much every race is already decided for.

Only thing that might be impactful are my votes for Justice of the Peace.

Hochul barely gonna win NY. Margin will be less than 3.

Heā€™s fighting a losing battle, but this is good:

https://twitter.com/Booker4KY/status/1584363437349797889

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Iā€™m in a tough spot on that in Pennsylvania. My main races are:

Governor: Mastriano (R) is a Christian nationalist and literally an insurrectionist who will ban abortion with no exceptions if he wins and holds the state legislature (which is badly gerrymandered) and will support a bill to let the state legislature award electors. Shapiro (D) is basically a bog standard eDem with a little more fight than the fossils running the national party. Definitely voting for Shapiro given the magnitude of this one. Dems have to win this AND the presidential race in 2024 to get the electoral votes here.

Senate: Fetterman is actually good so Iā€™m definitely voting for him.

US House: Dean (D) is the incumbent and sheā€™s pretty much a standard House Dem. She gives wishy washy ā€œeverything should be on the table to restore Roeā€ type statements about issues and doesnā€™t give specifics. This is a pretty strongly lean Dem district, if she loses we already lost the House in a landslide, so I could go third party here. Not sure what message that sends, though?

State House and Senate: I havenā€™t researched the specific candidates yet, but I donā€™t think my candidates won the primaries so these are probably mediocre. However, given the stakes (see Mastriano above) and given the off chance we get a surprising wave of pro choice votes that can beat the gerrymander, it seems mandatory to vote Dem in these.

State AG: Pretty important in litigating election stuff, so gotta vote Dem here too.

So I have one meaningful race I can cast a protest vote in. But what message does it send if Dean, who is probably left of Shapiro and possibly left of the state legislature candidates, underperforms? It tells the Dems to move rightā€¦

They at least fixed the gerrymander on the state house so thatā€™s theoretically winnable in a neutral or slightly D leaning environment. Havenā€™t seen any polling on it but given how badly Mastriano is going to lose Iā€™m guessing itā€™s within the realm of possibility that we can eke out a narrow majority there. The Senate is less gerrymandered but Iā€™m guessing since weā€™re so far behind and only half the seats are up weā€™ve got no shot there.

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My ballotā€™s going in the mail this morning.

If Lake, Masters, and especially Finchem win, Iā€™ll seriously be considering leaving AZ, although inertia probably keeps me here for a few more years.

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I voted last week. It took me less than 5 minutes in and out. Pointless? Yup. No excuse not to based on how easy it was.

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The establishment Democrats are basically the Washington Generals, making sure that Corporate America wins. Theyā€™re almost as big of an obstacle in this country as the GOP, and theyā€™re putting up very little fight against the fascists.

Thereā€™s something to be said for the need to wipe them out and replace them with people actually trying, but thatā€™s way easier said than done.

Itā€™s eDems fault WAAF though, not the GOPā€™s. Theyā€™re the ones who are supposed to stop them.

The current LA County Sheriff is a literal gang leader, so Iā€™d be voting to vote against him regardless, and will vote for other people once the ballot is in front of me. Of course the LASD will still be a criminal syndicate and probably the new guy will be somehow worse, but it is what it is.

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