2022 Midterm Elections (Abandon hope all ye who enter here) butnahhh. or maybe?

This Kansas thing really gonna fail by 20 points?

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This was a very widely publicized vote and the turnout numbers are much bigger than a normal non-presidential year primary turn out. We are already at 700,000 votes with only 60% in. That is insane turnout for a state that only has like 3 million total people. The 2018 primary had about 350,000 total voters by comparison. People knew what they were voting for.

I posted it in the abortion thread but Kansas was basically the capital for abortion access in the 80s-90s for the region and Kansas is a lot better of a red state than most with a Democratic governor at the moment also.

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https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1554664400589651969?t=URNiJnXzg1mRhEnUHyomkw&s=19

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Polls in AZ closed an hour ago. Results far from complete, but at this point the craziest trumpiest election denier (Mark FInchem) is currently leading for (R) Secretary of State:

It would obviously be insane if he wins in November, but this might be the best result for the primary.

Also looking like it’ll be Kelly vs. Trump-endorsed Blake Masters for the Senate race.

It’s almost like people are actually voting harder.

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The Dems just need to lean into popular policies and then enact them when they have power. It’s too bad enough of them are paid to do the exact opposite by the donor class/powers that be.

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:leolol:

(Joe Arpaio is 90 years old.)

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This kinda confirms my galaxy brain take…

Most of the conventional wisdom I heard argued that holding it during a primary favored Rs b/c (among other reasons) there are more highly contested R primaries so more Rs show up to the polls. But, what if it actually backfired in this case because more D or D leaning organization and resources could focus all of their fire on defeating the abortion amendment instead of various primary candidates?

[Obviously the lack of a D bench could be bad in other ways, but maybe paid off here?]

I think it’s more simple than that. Women can make a completely private choice in the voting booth and are doing so. Saw it here in my normally Republican township and county.

I think the messaging is simple. Do the opposite of what the assholes want.

The Dems just need to get out of their own way in the short term. They better follow through with what power they have.

Sorry to go all SSC but I saw this happen with gay marriage in MN. The Rs got elected for “business” and instead devoted all their effort to their cultural bullshit. They went from a majority putting a gay marriage ban on the ballot to a minority and legalized gay marriage in a span of 2 years.

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Fucking hell I told two people in their thirties they had metastatic cancer today

I still remember when CA was purple and then the GOP became addicted to wedge cultural issues. That’s a well that eventually runs dry.

Looks like Dems get a better chance to pick up a seat and retain control of the House.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554683159899508737?s=20&t=laTH9FDEShY6xxwFnWS3Tg

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https://twitter.com/dwbeard/status/1554668357131149312?s=20&t=laTH9FDEShY6xxwFnWS3Tg

What kinds?

https://twitter.com/Shayan86/status/1554677200015790090?t=khnHuvUiMTUi3g3E1UdatA&s=19

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I’m seeing lots of reports of unaffiliated voters (KS has closed primaries) turning out in droves. For a primary…when they would normally stay home.

KS Rs deliberately put it on the primary ballot because they know turnout is always lower and generally favors Rs anyway. Not this time.

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Feels like Dems should set up astroturf groups to create anti-abortion ballot initiatives wherever possible to drive turnout.

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Twice as many people voted on this then did during the 2018 midterms, per the drudge headline article. Dems need to learn something from this. 60 percent against overturning abortion in fucking Kansas on record turnout is quite the statement.

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Yep.

Man, explicitly running on a nationwide abortion ban is going to be an absolute dog even in red states. Have to imagine they don’t explicitly run on that now. (They’ll still do it though).