Stay tuned for the final Cook Political Senate change, she’s putting finishing touches on it as we speak!
I have no inside info so y’all’s guess is as good as mine!
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I bet that’s not the first woman Trump’s said, “You’ve got one minute,” to.
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This out yet?
I’ve been curious about the exact house composition and I assume its not as well polled as senate/house but 538 seems to have updated house races this morning with many moves in favour of Dems. 240+ seeming quite possible.
In theory a blue wave should help undo a lot of the 2010 redistricting/gerrymandering at the state level as well right?
that’s the blue dream
yes, that’s the real power. It’s why I get so mad at dems ignoring those races. so many Republican state assembly/senate people run unopposed…it’s so tilting.
Tomorrow morning. She has finished but they’re a business so they time releases for visibility. Fwiw I expect only one rating to change but no idea which one. My best assessment is that the Dems are heavily favored to flip Arizona and Colorado, keep Michigan, lose Alabama. The next tier is essentially just Maine which is possibly just shy of 2:1 to flip. The next tier is NC/Iowa/GA/GA which are coin flips.
Then you’ve got a lot of 2:1-3:1 dogs like SC AK KS and MT, and a couple 3:1-4:1 in TX and maybeeee MS.
But the ratings are essentially aligning with that assessment already do not sure what’s moving…
https://twitter.com/jessicataylor/status/1321629357232824320?s=21
More like blue balls, amirite?
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She is a really, really, really bad candidate.
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I could see Maine, SC, Montana or Texas (least likely but I expect Hegar to outperform polling) to toss up. Or a lean Dem to likely Dem.
If I had to guess I’d guess SC toss up. There was a Lindsey +2 today, it’s been pretty tight for a while, and if turnout is just a little higher than models think it should be a flip.
Or Iowa to lean Dem? Greenfield has had a steady small lead…
This is what I think it’s going to be.
I think I’ve seen roughly 70,000 Vince McMahon memes and they’re still funny to me. It’s an honest to god evergreen meme, just like the Jeb! maps.
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