I think it’s because the vast majority are really not that far apart (historically I’m talking) and the line between left and right shifts left and right with the times.
Based on nothing other than talking out my arse.
Political version of nash equilibrium?
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I think it actually makes sense since there is a natural feedback loop. If any one party starts getting too popular (relatively) the other side has to adjust.
Adjusting though can be: policy changes, marketing changes, voter suppression, etc.
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Really need to undertitle you “states the obvious, but with conviction.”
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Is this real?
https://twitter.com/RexChapman/status/1324689612518969344
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No, it’s FAKE, but well done!
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The 2024 Senate map is depressing.
Seems really likely that there’s no way the Dems can control the Senate until at least 2026.
Sure but you would then expect random variation in results, not a near perfect split election after election.
We’re really hoping Jeff Jackson runs for the 2022 seat here in NC.
My mom loves him and emailed me yesterday saying she hopes he does too. I don’t know if this is true, but apparently the only reason he didn’t run this time was because he wouldn’t play ball with Schumer.
Maybe but if you take out CA, the popular vote is close to a tie.
Where I worry about Kemp shenanigans is the voter rolls for the runoff. I would have to dig deeper into GA law, but basically if you are moved to inactive status, and then miss 2 general elections, you can be kicked off the rolls.
I assume that the wheels of government don’t churn fast enough to: a) see who missed the November 3 general, b) notify them, and c) kick them off the rolls before January 7. But I’m sure they will look for every avenue to make it hard for people to vote 60 days from now.
It might be that the law says, yes, you can kick them off, but that doesn’t happen until x date of the following year. Not sure - no article gets specific enough.
Who cares. We have an electoral college and a senate in this country.
If Americans who show up to vote truly are a few % points from a 50% split, then what kind of swings would you expect to see from election to election? Are you asking why we don’t see 60/40 elections, for instance?
If you take out all the bad states, though, it’s really nowhere close to 50/50.
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Also, the parties themselves aren’t uniform (although moving that way). Local candidates can still distinguish themselves from the national party. Which again tightens the overall vote difference.
So looks like PA still going but still on course for Biden win, and GA flipped to Biden? How bout AZ/NV?
Can’t believe this is still going ffs
Ya I guess that is what I’m asking. I’m sure I am missing something but I don’t see why swings are reserved to a couple percentage points around 50/50.
NV fine, AZ very close.