Hold up. We were supposed to wait?
4 Likes
Trump seeking to take some action (i.e. deploy military somewhere) that Esper refuses to carry out? Idk, SecDef resigning in the middle of the vote count as the President screams itās not legitimate seems at least notable.
4 Likes
Pretty good chance we are in the lead without them and some moronic Trump aide is on Fox News tonight explaining how WELL ACTUALLLLLLLY Allegheny County is going to put Trump back ahead because the Steelers play there and they like steel and Trump saved steel and Joe Biden is a Chinese plant.
But, itās possible we do need to wait on Allegheny, yes. Depends how fast everything else is counted. If everything else is 100% in we should be ahead, if not, itāll take til tomorrow because thatās a decent chunk of our arrived-by-11/3 victory margin.
1 Like
Show your work. Biden has won the overall mail drop since 9 am today by 75/25. 59,297, to 19412.
3 Likes
Itās honestly astounding not one fucking state has been called in days. Just unreal.
5 Likes
If Esper refused to pass along an order he believed was illegal then he wouldnāt resign, I wouldnāt think.
1 Like
Exactly, itās unfair to the rest of Pennsylvanians to lump them together with South Philly
1 Like
I mean, Nevada should be called. On the other hand Arizona should not be.
1 Like
Jordon is some kind of troll focussed just at being bad at math.
2 Likes
Probably trueāhope so at least.
Iāve shown it multiple times as the drop has come in. Heās been 93% in Philly, last Philly drop he was 90%. Heās been 82% in Erie, last Erie drop was 73%. Many more examples of this. Nearly every time someone identifies the county, I check the overall mail-in for that county, and heās run below that today. Someone mentioned Greene before, where Trump won the last drop. Biden is winning mail-in overall there.
1 Like
Hmmm I wonder what lesson the Bush family learned after florida in 2000
But really we all know the problem is the piece of shit EC. Get rid of that and the drama goes bye bye.
what are you using to count drops? are you doing it manually?
instead of refusing to sell out the kurds and our european allies in return for an improved personal relationship between donald and bad guy dictators, mattis resigned.
3 Likes
I mean, I donāt know what benchmark youāre comparing this to since I donāt know the previous mail amounts, but if he continues to average a 75/25 drop when he needs 66/34 to win, then whatās the issue? (Other than the denominator being wrong, which, yeah, I agree that could be an issue).
Sadly, yes.
Imagine being maricopa county and sticking to a once a day at 7 dump cause āreasonsā.
Sorry we set 7 pm. Canāt change it now even though the entire fucking world is standing arms crossed waiting.
1 Like
I made a spreadsheet and I am manually updating after each nytimes update.
It just makes it less likely, but there is always the chance of a razor thin margin nationally. Then we would have to sweat every state.