Since Suz is out, you have your opening.
Is it just me or are quite a few players being overdrafted. Like way overdrafted.
I mean itâs just a first glance at an ADP list. So I havenât looked deep into it but DâAndre Swift and Deebo Samuel being drafted in the top 20 seem like massive reaches.
Deebo finished WR3 overall in the PPR league I just looked at last year. Swift is probably somewhere around RB10, and youâll probably see >10 RBs to in the top 20 picks most years in most leagues, so I donât think itâs super crazy.
Might think Deebo is going to regress without Jimmy G (?) or that Swift is going to get hurt like always and the Lions suck, but Iâd quibble with âmassive reachâ.
Couldâve sworn Deebo was injured for a chunk of last season. I definitely remember overdrafting a 49ers WR.
EDIT: Iâm thinking of 2020. Silly me. Though I did remember being super down on Samuel going into the 2021 draft.
As for Swift, heâs been in the low-end RB2 category the last two seasons and has suffered from injuries in each of them. Thatâs not what Iâm aiming for in picking a RB1. I want an early-down workhorse who doesnât have any competition for carries. While the latter is true for Swift as of now, the former clearly isnât.
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I always wonder how other owners go about drafting. I guess one way is to find an ADP list and go with it. I mean basically everybodyâs solid in FF full season leagues because of how easily available resources are.
I put players into tiers where I consider all players in that tier to be equivalent in value. Last season, the difference between WR21 and WR25 was just a few points. So itâs kinda ridiculous to agonize over their exact order. Easier to lump them in a group and go, âTheyâre all the same to me.â
Gets the planning done quickly.
This is what I try to do, but I still spend way too much time sorting within tiers. I know I shouldnât, but I canât help myself.
I often use last yearâs fantasy performance as a guide for where the tiers are.
For example, Jonathan Taylor massively outscored last yearâs RB2 relative to how RB2 outscored the other backs. To me, that puts Taylor in his own tier.
I then adjust them according to the situation that a player faces this season.
I use last 3 years, but otherwise I do the same approach. Still I get bogged down in the details too much.
I spent 20 min yesterday ranking my RB 14-20 (which I have as tier 3).
I still have JT in tier 1 with a bunch of others. As consensus #1 overall pick it doesnât really matter if he is in his own tier or not. I guess for auction I would give him a bit more of a bump (effectively putting him in his own tier).
Yeah I will basically look at default rankings to understand tiers and then just within +/- a round and a half pick players I like or think are good, or who I think will outperform due to environment changes.
Like I think Nick Chubb is really good at running the ball, I would probably take him over a David Montgomery or Josh Jacobs who might have similar projection due to more expected touches.
Last year I was all over the Ramâs receivers. This year Hurts might have better weapons, or Lamar Jacksonâs whole O line and RB room was banged up most of last year, but should be healthier this year, maybe last yearâs stats donât value him enough. Or Mahomes and Rodgers just lost their #1 wr and the replacement are a little sus.
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Drive yourself crazy with it! Upon reflection, Iâm out
Okay. @JonnyA is interested in participating and can take your place if you remove yourself from the league.
Thing is that suz is commish and I think heâs the only one who can send league invites.
So is this league going to happen or what?
We need either a new commissioner or someone to start a new league?
Iâll be commish.
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Whatâs the plan. New league?
Seem like it has to be.
Yeah. The other league seems dead.
I started a new one. Looking for 10 or 12 teams. Iâll PM the link to those interested.
Looks like we have 6 so far.
- Just accepted.
Whatâs the entry this year?
Iâm happy to stick with $50. Figure 50%/30%/20% payout is fine for 12 teams. But if we stick with 10, make it 70%/30%?
The draft time is changeable. I set it for a time I would easily make for now.
@Riverman and @JonnyA have received invites via UP but havenât accepted yet. Assuming they accept, we have a full league but Iâm willing to go to 12 teams if others are interested.