UN/NATO is going to have a ton of leverage at the end (both scenarios on nuclear strikes). they need to press to demilitarize russia. taking nukes away must be on the table.
I think the end game is just a stalemate with Russia keeping the Eastern territories they took over/Crimea and Ukraine enters the EU/NATO. Putin stays in power.
UN/NATO is going to have a ton of leverage at the end (both scenarios on nuclear strikes). they need to press to demilitarize russia. taking nukes away must be on the table.
You are talking about a full scale WW3 invasion of Russia where you need to both defeat them and hope they don’t press the button to end it all? That seems quite unlikely imo. I certainly wouldn’t be on board for that shit.
I wasn’t well liked on twoplustwo politics by the regulars there. If a mod wants to do IP swipe and doxx my twoplustwo identity than fine. Don’t really care.
How does a peace agreement even work here. Putin gets some territory and says ok I will stop invading. And then he just bides time, reloads and replenishes, and invades at some future point, no?
by the time negotiations happen, ukrainian forces are going to be able to take donbass back. i’d love for them to take crimea too, in order to strengthen their negotiating position. they may not actually do it, but there’s little doubt they have the capability and the civilian reserve forces to counter like that.