Ukraine Invasion 2: no more Black Sea fleet for you

also Trumpian in that certain parties will insist you are playing 7D chess despite all evidence to the contrary

Their own people downstream probably didn’t know it was happening. Maybe bs but one tweet I saw had Russian soldiers climbing trees and yelling for help. Supposedly they planted explosives in October. To blow it now seems like desperation or stupidity must have played a part.

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the power plant was blown up together with the dam. the power plant was under russian control. this was not a missile strike, it required charges to be detonated basically on the structure, equivalent to a lot of tnt. that’s just a really big ask for a ukrainian forces to achieve.

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1666075086107951106

Interesting if this is accurate. Upstream of the destroyed dam.

https://twitter.com/OlgaBazova/status/1666362220245123075

lol holy shit keeed. Other joints from this twitter blue check:

https://twitter.com/OlgaBazova/status/1666460566657925120?s=20

https://twitter.com/OlgaBazova/status/1666460582671794181?s=20

https://twitter.com/myscotlandtoday/status/1666387720640376832?s=20

From the comments on your tweet:
https://twitter.com/sp_viewer/status/1666419492321374208?s=20

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not accurate as it turns out

https://twitter.com/OlgaBazova/status/1666474645619462146

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CANT BELIEVE IT

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a dam cannot quickly release amounts of water that would significantly add to the flooding caused by an uncontrolled spill of a gigantic reservoir like that.

lol she deleted it, but instead tweeted out a screencap of it. that’s some elite twertering. shitposters could legit learn a thing or two

Keeed I’ve now seen nearly that exact same tweet from two other blue check pro Russian accounts. Seems like this was an intentional misinfo campaign. Solid work

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Hey now, he said IF accurate. Yes, he still uncritically spread Russian disinformation but you can’t technically fault him for it when it’s covered by disclaimer.

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Regarding casualty ratios. (To be clear, casualty means wounded and killed in action.) The classified documents released on the internet by Jack Teixeira have numbers that indicate a ratio of between 1.4:1 and 1.8:1 in favor of Ukraine. The numbers seem to be from January.

That’s worse for Ukraine than I would have guessed but I give it a lot more weight than I do JM’s musings. I’d expect it to have been much better for them since then because of the Russian offensive in Bakhmut and the way they conducted it. But now that Ukraine is ramping up on offense, it will swing the other way.

Uncritically? Like you said I obviously wasn’t sure if it was credible or not and expressed that in the very short post I made.

Well, we should know better than to expect you to do any of your own verification before spreading dubious information that nevertheless fits your priors.

1-4 to 1-8 is worse than you’d expect for Ukraine in Bakhmut?

from that article:

  • An equally startling disclosure is that the number of Russian mercenaries fighting around Bakhmut exceeds the number of regular soldiers. According to U.S. intelligence, 22,000 Wagner group fighters constitute 70 percent of those fighting—thousands more than was previously known and certainly a critical new variable.

So there’s like 30,000 Russians attacking in Bakhmut. Attacking with shovels and human waves and whatnot, based on Western reports. The attacking Russians are sustaining between 4 and 8 times the casualties as the defending Ukrainians. How the hell did those 30,000 Russians push the Ukrainians out of Bakhmut? What sort of casualties could they have inflicted on the Ukrainians trading at that rate, a few thousand?

:roll_eyes:

That’s what uncritically means.

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Posting a tweet with an obvious caveat is “uncritically spreading Russian disinformation,” lol, OK buddy.

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