an update on krassovsky, there was a minor outrage at his content appearing on RT, and his status has been upgraded to something like still suspended. they have removed his newest doc and he has posted that his things are still not ok.
guess floating him out again didn’t produce what they hoped
flag thing is either a misdirection, trying to confuse AFU offensive, or a formality, because the kherson administration moved to the left bank, and presumably they have a flag there too.
the rumors are that RU are strengthening outposts in every wooded area outside of kherson on the right bank. making it very expensive for afu to advance towards the city. the difference is stark between afu and russian tactics of taking over territories. afu mostly outflanks and forces mobiks to leave an encirclement, izyum and kupyansk. ru instead destroys big parts of a city with artillery barrage, and then moves through with tanks, eg mariupol and severodonets.
this tweet shows an example of hundreds or thousands of concrete covers that russia has put up throughout the south, basically a small fortified firing outpost, that also double as a sitting duck for most modern missiles, or even javelins.
even girkin is concerned
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1588211483430690816
It does, tentatively, seem to have been an accident. Like his daughter is saying it was a fall.
“Because it’s always like that.”
That is certainly possible. It doesn’t matter much either way. Accidents do happen but his daughter would certainly say the same if he was pushed as a warning. The timing is a bit suspicious though given that Karpov just abstained from a pro-Putin vote.
https://twitter.com/COUPSURE/status/1588924419002740736?s=20&t=tj1XTk4ZQyiS8ZuzybMA3Q
A later tweet corrects “left bank” (east) to “right bank” (west)
For people who don’t want to read the thread, this is the crux of the argument:
https://mobile.twitter.com/TimothyDSnyder/status/1589260112539299840
https://mobile.twitter.com/TimothyDSnyder/status/1589260114581934080
yeah it’s amazing that people either don’t get this (true trump types) or pretend not to get it (the cruz type suckups)
I get that they have trouble following a long sequence of events but this is pretty simple. 1) withdraw funding from ukraine 2) Xi gets the message that nobody is going to lift a finger if he moves on taiwan. It’s extremely straightforward.
the dumbest part is Trump has this obsession with “having the best military” and completely misses how stuff like this is a HUGE force multiplier. Yeah, we put more of GDP into NATO than Lithuania or whatever, it doesn’t matter because just having them in the alliance makes it easier for the US to project power. It’s more than worth it to subsidize them a little bit.
Why is Taiwan worth potentially starting WW3 over
Do nuclear powers have the right to conquer their non-nuclear neighbors without interference from other nations? And if so, do you support any nation that wishes to be so becoming a nuclear power?
No, that seems like a dick move, and no, I don’t think there should be any nuclear powers, but I can understand why a nation would want to be able to threaten potential adversaries with nuclear capabilities.
Taiwan makes 65% of the world’s semiconductors and almost 90% of the advanced chips. The rest of the world is at China’s mercy if they get control over that.