Ukraine Invasion 2: no more Black Sea fleet for you

https://thumbs.gfycat.com/OpenFatalAsianlion-size_restricted.gif

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Hearing that Ukraine is pushing on Kherson with 20k+ troops starting 18 hours ago but haven’t seen many details. Radio silence was urged. Hoping the Russians haven’t figured out how to fight.

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Wanted and capable are different things

https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/status/1581299513519529984?s=20&t=iWpGJY6wIz94z9NrwNC9Xw

Previously:

Russian crews in 50 year old tanks not overly eager to fight:

https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1581135871729811458?s=21

https://twitter.com/mjluxmoore/status/1581585013295890433?s=46&t=D9VHxUhwSZROUzRzKGVvgw

Iran sending a system with 700km range to Russia

Also this in Belarus

https://twitter.com/euan_macdonald/status/1581639598291095552?s=46&t=XknuUGpwuL5yf01G61enUg

Seems bad

Israeli Minister of Diaspora Affairs:

https://twitter.com/drnachmanshai/status/1581579455650492416?s=21

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Interesting panel.

https://twitter.com/kyleworton/status/1581733155257470976?s=21

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Long thread about it. Nice leadership.

https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1581692332688125952?t=UWZrY_td-aEenX4EABfeTg&s=19

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Didn’t Israel block delivery of patriot missiles with iron dome technology to Ukraine in the early stages of the conflict?

Long but interesting article from a Russian diplomat who resigned. Not surprisingly, says Putin is provided bad info by careerist apparatchiks.

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I don’t know what the production rate is but I’ve read that they cost $25,000. If that even is close to true it presents the Ukrainians with an impossible choice, as the cheapest air defense missile is probably the stinger. In May Raytheon got a $600 million dollar contract to replenish 1300 stingers.

I don’t know if cannon-based AA systems are effective in shooting these drones down but that’d be the only thing that’d be even remotely cost effective to shoot them down, if the $25,000 cost per drone is close to accurate.

with iran now involved, seems like we are on the cusp of entering an actual world war?

Not unless other countries are going to be willing to join Russia by throwing their troops into a meat grinder.

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If those drones are $25K shouldn’t we/somebody be able to make $25K drones to take them out?

Very good read.

No more than we were when the US sent stuff to Ukraine.

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