Ukraine Invasion 2: no more Black Sea fleet for you

Glitch in the Matrix. The same rooster that was given to Zelinsky and Johnson is on top of this kitchen cabinet.

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https://twitter.com/anders_aslund/status/1513159408125153286

https://twitter.com/Den_2042/status/1513169325951225857

50k?? that’s a huge overestimate obviously, but even numbers like 20k would mean russian army needs 80-100k troops to pull off something like that, which is already doubtful that they have even that many ready to deploy, but let’s assume 100k is the ballpark for the entire region. ukrainian side claims they are outnumbered closer to 10-1, although they are also likely undercount some mobilized territorial defenses. that would make UA forces in the 10k range.

True. At first I assumed a significant loss would be fatal for him and maybe it would but “buy my propaganda or go to prison for 15 years” is a strong pitch.

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1513185854231040005

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Sergey Karaganov has served as a presidential advisor in the Kremlin both under Boris Yeltsin and Vladimir Putin. He is still considered close to Russia’s president and foreign minister Sergey Lavrov. His recent proposals on Russian-speaking minorities in the “near abroad” are known as “Putin doctrine” and Professor Karaganov, who is honorary chair of the Moscow think tank the Council for Foreign and Defense Policy, was first to come out publicly about an all-out invasion of Ukraine in 2019. President Putin has mentioned on Feb. 24 that Ukraine’s accession to NATO warrants Russia’s military intervention to prevent it. However, Ukraine didn’t even have a Membership Action Plan for NATO and Germany’s chancellor Olaf Scholz clearly stated accession was many, many years off.

Interview with this guy.

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https://mobile.twitter.com/karlnehammer/status/1513193093784297476?cxt=HHwWiICz-b_G-P8pAAAA

Austrian Chancellor will meet with Putin in Moscow tomorrow

As if Putin cares what the Austrian chancellor thinks. The only this achieves is keeping up the charade that anything can be achieved diplomatically.

https://twitter.com/argojournal/status/1511014135173160963?s=21&t=k5TIvpgnX4MqFED_3G_yIg

Pre-Bucha numbers too.

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Now, do Crimea.

they did

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Ah, missed that.

Do you support Ukraine fighting until they take back Crimea?
  • Yes
  • No
  • Don’t know
  • Don’t care

0 voters

Not sure how to answer this. Feels like it’s not my place to tell Ukraine on what terms they should accept peace

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Well that’s very unAmerican of you.

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The question is not, “Should Ukraine retake Crimea?”, it’s, “Would you support Ukraine’s decision to retake Crimea, if they chose to do so?”. At least, that’s how I read it.

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Only if the residents of Crimea are joining the Ukrainians.

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Assume they want to fight. Do you support them, do you think the US and the West should support them as they do now, or are you afraid that taking back Crimea leaves Putin with no off-ramp and leads to nuclear armageddon?

I think that’s were I land too. If Crimea wants out I guess so.