This is exactly why I will actively discourage any use of the “Republican Recall” language by local Dems in my area. Negative turnout is a thing, and anything we do to rile up the dopes out here is detrimental.
OK, but will that net more votes than driving down turnout in eastern SD County?
who knows. That’s the fun of campaigning We can theorize all we want, but the reality is this:
There are a set number of people who will always vote red, and a set number who will always vote blue. I think the 2020 primary showed that relying only on a set number of voters is not a winning strategy, and that coalition-building is key. So Who do we reach to try to build our coalition?
This language will work well in the deep blue cities. In the suburbs, where votes swung from Trump to Biden? Maaaaybe not so much. In the exurbs and rural areas, not at all. I won’t give up on my district.
Honestly though, I’m more concerned about the general attitude this language represents. Yeah, it’s all over this board and the rest of the party. The “fuck those people, they are hopeless” attitude. Like I said in my tweet, treating the voters the same as the asshole GOP leaders/media who feed them lies is a mistake, and that’s what this messaging does.
I’m with you there, hopefully you’ll join me in pushing back on that attitude on Unstuck.
To the extent that strategy matters for campaigns, the strategists have to make an educated decision about this kind of stuff. You’re saying you don’t know the answer, neither do I, but it’s the only question that matters if your focus is on passing the referendum.
It sounds like you want a more inclusive message to aid long term prospects in your district. Which is fine, but don’t get upset if other people have other, worthy priorities.
One theory is that true swing voters are rare and that you mostly have people who always vote red or always vote blue if they show up to the polls, so the key to winning is motivating those people to show up.
Like it or not, we’re moving towards an era of hyper-partisanship, where there is little room in the middle and almost no compromise between both sides. That’s why Republicans concentrate on voter suppression, because elections hinge more on turnout and less on persuasion. The question is whether Democrats will catch up or if too many of them are still living in Joe Manchin’s world where bipartisanship is the norm.