So can someone explain to me how the LV models can be in the vicinity of right when it’s becoming increasingly obvious turnout is going to be way way up? I mean we’re approaching 100% of 2016 in Texas and election day is 5 days out.
Please Odin let him just win on election night
We need 538 to move to 90% and then it changes from ‘favored’ to ‘clearly favored’ i believe.
Don’t look at PI’s who will win pres market, its capped on betters, look at female veep market for any real changes.
A ton of Democratic-leaning money showed up to PI today, not sure where it all came from.
This is a 2 point improvement over their September Poll.
Oh, wow, you’re right, that’s at 69/32. Now 70/32. Huge movement in it in the last few days.
Like the worst poll today was MIN +5? How am i suppose to write the waaf newsletter with this stuff?
That’s their RV number. They have two LV numbers, a low turnout and a high turnout. It’s looking pretty unlikely to be a low turnout election, so, allow me to meme:
Lol, there’s a Rasmussen General election +1 Biden. Although even that is an improvement over their trendline that had Trump up the other day.
Lol yes
A popular internet response is “lol @ this guy”
Which I assumed was why you selected your screen name…
Haha, I never even thought of that!
How are they defining low turnout at this point? Is it relative to 2016 or is it based on projected 2020 turnout and factoring in all the early voting.
I was thinking of it as a reference to “Who has two thumbs and…”
Considering taking the drive to my wine storage lockers this weekend to grab a few special bottles for election night, but can’t help but feel that might be bad juju.
I mean, a Florida where Biden is +6 gets called before 10 pm EST, imo.