It probably has a lot to do with how easy it is to vote in the suburbs sadly. I wish that wasn’t the case but I was in and out in <5 minutes. I wouldn’t assume that the suburbs blowing up turnout is a bad thing for us though. Remember that nearly all the GOP voters turn out compared to Democrats. A turnout boom is probably mostly gains for us.
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This isn’t saying much, California isn’t really very progressive statewide and comparing a city to a whole state, much less a state as big as CA is pretty lol. There are huge portions of the interior that are super trumpy.
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What about Texas early turnt out? What does that mean for the Democrats?
Wow that thread. Is there still time to become a republican grifter…
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Yeah I mean it’s more progressive than like NYC, LA, Chicago, etc in my experience too.
this week checking polling and early votes
trending good
PA, MI, TX (and I think NC)
trending bad
MN, AZ (I thought AZ would go blue this cycle and now I’m staring at a poll saying mcsally is up WTF) OH (didn’t think team blue would win it anyway)
looks not good enough to me
FL (sigh)
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1319654810531041286
never heard of pollster gonna troll, black vote is like 40% R in this
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1319690158162251781
Handling of COVID by Trump
Strongly disapprove: April 37%—>October 48%
Not sure (LOL): April 5%—>October 3%
Strongly approve: April 26%—>October 25%
Lowest point of Strongly Approve was 20% on 7/28
Man, those numbers are TERRIBLE. I can’t imagine someone doing even worse–
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I take it back. COVID really is why Trump is guaranteed to lose. Huge portions of the country think this is very serious, but he’s out there lying every day that it’s fine, it’s going to go away, there’s no need to worry.
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yea, he’s a fucking idiot, he thinks he can just lie through his teeth about Covid for months on end and people will magically care about Hunter in October
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Yeah, they’re C/D ranked on 538 and this is their only poll. Also no questions about education.
JackNicholson.gif
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There are definitely people who take COVID seriously but are also going to vote for Trump, I know because my grandma is one of them.
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It seems likely that the race would be tighter, but not that it would be “much tighter” without COVID. A lot of people had their minds made up in February. Trump was already near his floor where you’d need a disaster bigger than coronavirus to drive his numbers lower. The pandemic has solidified the anti-Trump vote.
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That doesn’t track for me. Republicans are not the ones doing early voting.
in person it’s republicans. The question is whether they also have gobbled up their projected election day votes.
They are in my county, in person anyway. We still have a big mail in lead but it’s almost completely offset as of today by their advantage with in person early voting. (This is still better for us considering they outnumber us by 20k or so overall)
Is it just me, or are there others who, when they scroll into a Vince Meme, immediately scroll down with eyes half-closed and make sure that the bottom panel isn’t some kind of fake-out before actually then exhaling and looking at the text on the left side?
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