ITV: Impeachment Television

I actually have a tougher time believing the first part than the second. (And I don’t believe the second either)

I think Texas is entering a purple phase, but there will be plenty of shenanigans to keep it red and that’ll be the battle. Perhaps by the time the battle is won, which could be 10 years from now, it’ll be blue. It’s hard to say, but there are a lot of young people moving to the big cities in Texas.

In Oklahoma, I just think OKC is too small relative to the population of the state, and less likely to draw in a lot of young people moving there from the coasts. I could be wrong, I don’t know as much about OK as TX.

Or maybe simplicitus is just looking at climate change disasters and mass migration in a glass half full kind of way. “Yeah, sure, the coasts will be totally uninhabitable, but we can turn Oklahoma blue!”

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1199335495140040704

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https://twitter.com/gtconway3d/status/1199367861095014400

It’s still not enough to bring more than 3-4 GOP Senators into the mix where they might even consider voting to convict. It’s also not enough to guarantee that 1-2 Dem Senators don’t jump ship. Essentially, the testimony didn’t move things at all.

Doesn’t matter, the only play here is to vote to impeach, send it to the Senate, and hope for the best. Maybe the trial there gets more attention. Keep investigating in the mean time, anything new that comes out can be presented in the Senate trial by the prosecution team.

I don’t doubt any of this.

But “close to as blue as CA” is a massive stretch imo.

Hillary got over 60% of the vote in CA in 2016. They have 2 Democratic senators and 46/53 Democratic House members. I don’t see numbers anywhere close to that happening within a decade.

Decade maybe too soon, but look at CO and VA.

It’s, uh, pretty cute that you assume being in the majority will matter when conservatives, already a minority, have shown a limitless appetite for securing their power and already have in place an apparatus to assure that their grab goes unchecked.

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If you want to argue that Texas will be as blue as Colorado in 2030, I might agree.

Those are left-leaning swing states.

And a decade ago they were not, and I’d hesitate to call them swing states atm.

In 2008, Obama won both Colorado and Virginia by bigger margins than Hillary in 2016. Also both states had 2 Democratic senators after that election. That isn’t even true now.

https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/1199319947996016640?s=19

maybe i’m not as good at math as i used to be, but that looks more like a 20 point gap to me

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Think it’s -13 men and +27 women = 40 difference.

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https://twitter.com/kenolin1/status/1199399242441220097?s=19

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I don’t think this will be true for VA anymore. VA gets more blue every election

So if it were men opposed 0-100 and women in favor 100-0, that would be a 200 point gap?

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correct, that’s just science

But what does religion say about it?