Iowa Caucus Predictions... SEASON Thread

I think this is because it has 1st alignment for some precincts but not the second alignment yet. Look at the counts.

Pete Buttigieg 0 0.0% 1,225 18.8% 712 26.8%
Bernie Sanders 0 0.0% 1,644 25.2% 628 23.6%

i’m hating this but i took a nap earlier today so i guess i’m staying until the end

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pete winning, biden fifth is definitely a result bernie would be thrilled with but with this being a bunch of young white people and he still didn’t win it’s a bit of a concern going forward.

Pete has literally no path to the nom imo. He is only popular with old whites (something there are a lot of in Iowa). You can’t win the nom with that only.

Pete isn’t going to magically take Biden’s voters, I’m thinking Bloomer has a shot here, if it’s all split up, then Bernie may have a strong plurality going into the convention and the ratfucking will be harder to undertake

26 of 1765 precincts reporting my guy

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I’m still feeling it

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well, no matter what this is biden’s best performance in Iowa in three presidential attempts. gonna LOL hard if they try to sell that.

I mean, I’m glad Pete won the tie, but the fact that we’re using coin flips is fucking stupid.

Can we please just do ranked choice voting?

https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1224520096980168705?s=20

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https://mobile.twitter.com/MrDanZak/status/1224523194637438977

Just now realizing how much I could have destroyed this if I could be bothered to study it a bit and put some scripts together.

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Pete’s +2 on that so far from what I’ve seen now.

Personality voters, not policy voters. Like probably the majority of people. Ah well.

I remember it coming up in 2016, as well, looooool USA#1 like wtf.

Bernie lost something like 18 coin flips in a row in 2016 Iowa

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Are the people talking about Bloomberg having a path to the nomination serious? I haven’t really been paying attention because I’m voting either Bernie or Warren and avoiding the news for the benefit of my health, but I haven’t caught any wind of any kind of Bloomberg momentum. And in his TV adds he seems about as exciting as a wet fart.

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he’s third nationally polling, (I kinda ignore yougov’s those are all of warren’s good polls)

Coins have no memory though, so we’re still looking good, right?

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Whatever happens tonight the media is going to push Pete hard now. It’s looking like he will either win or be second.

Bloomberg is what 6th? 10th? 1% in Iowa? How does he ever get the nom lol.