Iowa Caucus Predictions... SEASON Thread

Pete might still not make it to super tuesday and winning Iowa. He still needs a pretty good NH result. as NV/SC he is certainly going to lose.

lol Fox has an empty Warren lectern on split screen

Biden is the one person who would put me much closer to WAAF territory. Ridiculously poor performance throughout 2019. I no longer have any confidence Trump wouldnā€™t wipe the floor with him in a matchup.

2 Likes

Bernieā€™s scorched earth didnā€™t work as well as intended.

Trumpā€™s probably favored over every dem at this point. Every one has some weakness that needs to be addressed in the general, and weā€™re most likely dealing with some old dude who canā€™t change at that point.

1 Like

Klob I think is very solid versus Trump.

It blows my mind that people would vote for GOPete if they are voting on some sort of electability but I guess thatā€™s a Midwest thing.

Bernie is still going to win this. Pete has no path to the nom. Warren winning would be much worse for Bernie than Pete.

final results from Bob the Steyer>Yang>Pete guyā€™s precinct:

https://twitter.com/ibellamurray/status/1224516922504552449?s=20

When youā€™ve never met a black person, it might be hard to imagine them not sharing your exact viewpoints.

Has anyone ever done oppo on her?

In theory, I agree. Sheā€™s Hillary without baggage.

Iā€™m joking

Thatā€™s what the narrative will be tho ldo

1 Like

I donā€™t think itā€™s a lock GOPete absorbs all of Bidenā€™s black support should Biden go down in flames. Bernie has a fair shot of that.

2 Likes

I mean she ran competitive Senate races and beat an incumbent Republican so I have to imagine yes.

Stand there, give a few speeches, stand somewhere else, countā€¦

I guess the hardest part is reporting results to the party?

This Grinnell situation where Pete/Klob/Biden combined to make a viable 15% of undecideds to keep some delegates from Sanders/Warren is pretty odd.

Bidenā€™s black voters are going to Klob imo.

She was a prosecutor in minnesota, so sheā€™s definitely screwed over some black person at some point. Kinda need those to win the generalā€¦

I donā€™t mean Minnesota oppo

I mean oppo oppo. Russian bot EMAILZ oppo.

Sanders has pulled ahead in the DMR results

1 Like