Iowa Caucus Predictions... SEASON Thread

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Warren group most diverse by age, gender, and race in my precinct.

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just finding random tweets from ā€œreportersā€ at random precincts.

https://twitter.com/Bidar411/status/1224508844585426944?s=20

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Couldnā€™t find the original but yeah. My favorite tiktok and itā€™s not close.

Ankeny likes Pete!

https://twitter.com/DarrinDipity/status/1224510030491328512?s=20

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Good.

https://twitter.com/PeterHamby/status/1224505030147035136?s=19

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This favors Liz, nice.

Bloomfield, IA
https://twitter.com/fingerhutnnyl/status/1224511994629410818?s=20

These CNN & MSNBC panels are absolute AIDS

Terry McAulliffe? Are you fucking kidding me? And David Axelrod? The other channel is a panel of fucking republicans

Exactly zero actual progressives anywhere

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https://twitter.com/SharonChenTV/status/1224511973104279553?s=20

these numbers add up to like 140%

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Hey hey hey Yang got one.

https://twitter.com/MikeCardona92/status/1224510357340856321?s=20

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yeah, not sure whatā€™s going on thereā€¦maybe they put %s on when it was really just actual # of people.

https://twitter.com/michaelshure/status/1224512147780186112?s=20

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Iā€™m pretty confused by the Predictit odds right now. I havenā€™t seen many precincts where Bernie is winning, but heā€™s at like 80% there.

https://twitter.com/adamwren/status/1224514278788562949?s=20

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https://twitter.com/ThomasIsOnline/status/1224512727714074626/

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Yang/Bernie/Trump are all always overvalued to varying degrees on predictit. I think they donā€™t realize bernie doesnā€™t get all that much 2nd place votes vs everyone else and itā€™s sort of a ranked choice caucus. Heā€™s still favored of course, but he isnā€™t getting the klob votes, and neither is biden getting those apparently.