Iowa Caucus Predictions... SEASON Thread

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Warren group most diverse by age, gender, and race in my precinct.

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just finding random tweets from ā€œreportersā€ at random precincts.

https://twitter.com/Bidar411/status/1224508844585426944?s=20

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Couldn’t find the original but yeah. My favorite tiktok and it’s not close.

Ankeny likes Pete!

https://twitter.com/DarrinDipity/status/1224510030491328512?s=20

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Good.

https://twitter.com/PeterHamby/status/1224505030147035136?s=19

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This favors Liz, nice.

Bloomfield, IA
https://twitter.com/fingerhutnnyl/status/1224511994629410818?s=20

These CNN & MSNBC panels are absolute AIDS

Terry McAulliffe? Are you fucking kidding me? And David Axelrod? The other channel is a panel of fucking republicans

Exactly zero actual progressives anywhere

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https://twitter.com/SharonChenTV/status/1224511973104279553?s=20

these numbers add up to like 140%

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Hey hey hey Yang got one.

https://twitter.com/MikeCardona92/status/1224510357340856321?s=20

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yeah, not sure what’s going on there…maybe they put %s on when it was really just actual # of people.

https://twitter.com/michaelshure/status/1224512147780186112?s=20

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I’m pretty confused by the Predictit odds right now. I haven’t seen many precincts where Bernie is winning, but he’s at like 80% there.

https://twitter.com/adamwren/status/1224514278788562949?s=20

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https://twitter.com/ThomasIsOnline/status/1224512727714074626/

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Yang/Bernie/Trump are all always overvalued to varying degrees on predictit. I think they don’t realize bernie doesn’t get all that much 2nd place votes vs everyone else and it’s sort of a ranked choice caucus. He’s still favored of course, but he isn’t getting the klob votes, and neither is biden getting those apparently.