It’s not out of the realm of possibility, but also far from certain. The studies showing rapid replication in bronchial tissue cultures but not lung tissue cultures, while limited, is evidence against this. They should also have some antibodies and T-cell memory on their side, too.
An anti-vax coworker thinks he just dunked on us/me by pointing out the very low vaccination rate in Africa and how they have much less covid cases and deaths than in the US. So CLEARLY this push to vaccinate everyone is some nefarious plot
Problem is, I don’t know how to look up or analyze the data. I did look up covid cases/deaths in Africa and they do seem to be far less than here. I also read their vaccination rates are far lower. But I know he can’t be right! What can I point to that refutes his claim about Africa not being as bad despite having lower vaccination rates than other countries?
In an assessment released on Oct 14, 2021, WHO stated that only one in seven COVID-19 infections in Africa are being detected, highlighting the need to expand testing capabilities. At the time of this assessment, about 4 billion COVID-19 tests have been conducted globally, of which only about 73 million were carried out in Africa—a small fraction of the continent’s 1·3 billion people.
In Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country of 200 million people, only about 3 million tests have been carried out since the beginning of the pandemic. By contrast, the USA, which has about one-third of Africa’s population, has administered more than 550 million tests. The UK, with less than 10% of the population of Africa, has administered over 280 million tests.
tl;dr it’s not a lack of cases, it’s a lack of testing.
Somewhere up thread someone posted data showing the unaccounted death rate in Africa is highly indicative that coivd’s simply not being counted well in many countries.
If there are 400,000 extra deaths but only 50,000 Covid deaths, be suspicious. The norm for the world is known Covid accounting for more than half the death rate above baseline.
I’m on my phone, does anyone have the specifics post/link handy?
As someone on the same side of you on early demasking (or whatever we are calling it) I think you were implementing a little shaming.
It’s a hard row to hoe when you believe something is both important and correct and people are flippantly pushing it aside or even aggressively opposing it.
It’s pretty easy for all humans to get caught in that response field.
In South Africa, one of the highest reporting countries in Africa, excess deaths are ~triple what are being reported as covid deaths, and the timing of those excess deaths is ~perfectly correlated with their covid waves.
Other African countries just don’t have the testing, monitoring, or reporting capabilities of richer countries.