COVID-19: Chapter 4 - OPEN FOR BUSINESS

Dude in Redondo Beach pulled the mask off of a friend of my wife’s the other day. I don’t know the details, but I think it was a totally random dude raging about masks.

It’s been quiet up here. Both the numbers of hospitalizations and severity of symptoms have slowly dropped. My hospital only has 2 in the icu and one of those has been there for over a month. I think we peaked at 20 icu patients.

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Any chance that the only the major cities around the world with high population density are at extreme risk of catastrophic bodies-in-the-streets breakdowns, and that the smaller cities and rural areas have enough “natural distancing” built into daily life that’ll keep R closer to 1 and bail out those folks from having to lay off the iced tea?

It’s the local tragedies in the rural areas. If it gets in the nursing home or the prison or meat plant. Some place wo a hospital or 2 ICU beds and not near a city.

Thanks for the update. Thurston county had back to back weeks with 4 new cases but things are starting to crank up again a bit. Had 23 new cases last week and we have 11 this week with 2 days to go.

We had outbreaks at 2 nursing homes which contributed to most of the numbers last week. Think this weeks is the memorial day bump.

Yeah true, that’s def no good. Hard not to look from a macro perspective when we’re looking at graphs of millions of cases throughout the world. Probably makes me a terrible person for caring less about Podunk, Iowa since if they blow up it only tacks on 100 to the garphs.

Old childhood friend that I haven’t seen in 20 years posted this on Facebook this morning. This is in Lackawanna County PA. They have 1,700 cases.

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Gov Inslee just announced that the state will test everyone with even minor symptoms and everyone with close contact to people with minor symptoms without a doctor ordering a test. I expect we will see another bump just from this policy. Add in all the contact tracers the state hired and I think we are in as good of a position as possible in USA #1 to minimize the incoming second wave.

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I think it’s pretty hard for your average person to look at a disease where maybe 60% are asymptimatic, 30% mildly symptomatic, 10% end up in the hospital and probably .5% or something overall die and take it seriously. Most people aren’t willing to give up normality and prefer playing Covid roulette with those odds.

The crazy thing is if you asked one of these same people to take a 1 in 200 shot of dying for $10,000 most wouldn’t do it. But to watch some hillbillies race around a dirt track fuck ya they will. They either haven’t bothered or aren’t capable of grasping the risk they are in if they contract it.

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Funny thing is that post confirms what everyone here already knows. Conservative white people just don’t give a shit about anything in the world as long as it doesn’t directly impact their lives.

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Lol same guy that posted that picture posted this earlier today. He owns a greenhouse and grows flowers for a living. He’s worried about rioters. Because you know, in rural bumfuck PA, the hordes are out looking to destroy flowers.

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My mother in law who I have never heard say a word about politics started texting my wife and I yesterday. She had heard there were going to be protests in her small town in Kansas (less than 2,000) and was scared for her life and property. We tried to point out how ridiculous that was but it didn’t seem to land.

All that to point out the right wing propaganda machine is really strong. I’m sure the fear fear fear was going around hardcore in her circles and it worked even on someone who I don’t think it typically a racist or a bad person. They themselves have experienced racism as my FIL is Puerto Rican. But the right wing propaganda machine overrode all that and landed with scary minority protesters are coming to loot your small town so be afraid. I’m really not sure how you counter that.

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You have an obligation to take her. Trip report. Trick her if you have to have to.

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I live 3.5 hours away or I would be tempted.

What I’ve realized is that people were probably more upset about the buildings being destroyed on 9/11 than the lives that were lost.

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FYP

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Eh, I think well over 90% of the “fear” of antifa and MS13 is performative/trolling. You can’t talk someone out of their fear of MS13 when the issue is really that they just don’t want Mexicans around.

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Daily confirmed COVID hospital and nursing home deaths since peak (from Cuomo press conference)
April 8: 799

May 1: 299

June 1: 58
June 2: 49
June 3: 52
June 4: 42
June 5: 35

Things are going pretty well here aside from the suspension of habeas corpus and living in a police state.

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I think you’re spot on here. The tragedy is that there’s a decent chance that it’s really more like a 1 in 20 shot of either dying/dying 10-20 years early/finding yourself unable to ever walk up a flight of stairs without stopping/being on permanent disability due to CFS or something/combo of the above/etc/etc., and that should be way more terrifying to people. But people are terrible at parsing long-term stuff like that. I mean I hope I’m wrong, but I think there’ll be a huge social cost to this disease over the next generation or so that we’ll also have to plan for.

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