COVID-19 (2): Turns out it's going to be pretty bad actually

Don’t forget he also mocked someone when he mistakenly thought they trust Fox. He may as well be a solipsist.

2 Likes

I basically have to quarantine as well until their is a vaccine. Mom is extremely high risk and she can’t survive on her own.

Honestly the prospect of basically being alone for 18 months fills me with so much dread. I’m probably going to end up severely depressed and half crazy but it is what it is.

8 Likes

Cuomo update

Daily confirmed COVID hospital and nursing home deaths since peak
April 8: 799
April 9: 777
April 10: 783
April 11: 758
April 12: 671
April 13: 778
April 14: 758
April 15: 606
April 16: 630
April 17: 540
April 18: 507
April 19: 478
April 20: 481
April 21: 474
April 22: 438
April 23: 422
April 24: 437
April 25: 367
April 26: 337

7 Likes

Yes I pay a little more than that annually. We do pay the “mainline” tax for the affluence in our area. I know any contractor that shows up is disappointed when they see my 1300 sq Rt house when they have “90210” Expectations.

My acct helps w things like this for free.

Fleecing people just baffles me. And yet unhinged greed makes millionaires.

3 Likes

NYS continuing antibody study. Up to 7,500 tests now with 3,000 in first wave and 4,500 in second wave.

Sometimes. Unhinged greed IME is often what causes people to go broke. For instance in freight brokerage gouging every trucking company as hard as you can tends to result in higher freight costs over time (carriers don’t want to work with you so you have to pay them more up front) and gouging customers causes them to fire you (and customers really are residual income that keeps coming week in and week out… and the sales cycle is long and ugly).

I’ve definitely seen more greedy bastards fail than succeed honestly. It’s not that being greedy is bad per se, it’s that being too greedy is fucking trash. It’s definitely a balance. Fucking people definitely isn’t +EV in any industry where you have to deal with people repeatedly.

Truly unhinged greed in my business is a lot like driving really fast. You get there a tiny bit faster and your risk of ruin goes up 5000%. Very often you zoom past me only to have me pull up next to you at a red light 30 seconds later. It helps you win more when you’re already winning and massively amplifies your losses when you aren’t.

2 Likes

I’m an agent for a small brokerage whose MC number starts with a 3. Yeah a lot of the starter companies are pretty evil. At the same time after a few years the leverage shifts and the drivers get the ability to demand pretty reasonable pay… and people have to start somewhere. The first brokerage I worked for was pretty awful, but I’ve been gone from that place for 4 years now and do reasonably well for myself. No hard feelings and it was a better deal than college for me at least (I went to college and I regret it lol).

I literally never deal with any of the huge trucking companies tbh. They aren’t good partners and they want contract terms we won’t accept around cargo risk.

I do a lot of produce and machinery personally. All of it pays market rate+.

The typical brokerage career looks a lot like mine. Start at a brokerage at 30% of gross profit and a noncompete, learn the business, quit, wait out the noncompete, go to a better brokerage (that is basically a back office for hire) at 60% of gross and make a very nice living. It worked out for me just fine. Obviously I’m not an employee at 60% and basically am the senior partner in the relationship. They pay for the software, front the working capital, pay for insurance, and handle all the carrier setup/invoicing (not a small amount of work) for their 40%. They also have really good credit and a really clean MC number (company reputation) which makes signing new customers and carriers a breeze.

It probably varies based on where you are in the country.

Stores that just opened for business today in the Czech Republic have had almost no customers in them because people are afraid to go there and further expose themselves. This weekend, other went straight to the outdoor market where social distancing was impossible. Of course, everybody had masks and you could only shop at a place if you put hand sanitizer on first. Literally every stall had a bottle of hand sanitizer you had to use before shopping.

I’m keeping my distance from that stuff for at least a week. Need to see the impact the lifted restrictions will have before trying to return to a semblance of normalcy.

1 Like

Just a headline and brief but out key things about ventilation and they note that they detected particles but not neccessarily ability to infect.

Still on pace to hit 0 within two weeks.

Untitled

1 Like

Nope. Hospital less busy than usual per my partners, with no bleach injecting idiots reported. Our governor has been doing a pretty good job with the news media, I’d guess 80+ % of people wearing masks in Reno (I’d bet it’s worse in the rurals) - supposedly the next two weeks should tell whether the stuff has worked. Reno is still pretty locked down - we did our grocery shopping today, shelves were mostly full, not a lot of foot traffic.

MM MD

2 Likes

So…LIBERATE NYC?

My university is apparently going to make a decision on in-person classes for Fall semester by the end of June. I don’t know what to think. With on-campus living and in-person classes, there is zero ability for any social distancing. Even if they cut classroom size in half so that students are a little more spaced out inside the room, the transit through hallways, stairs, and elevators is still going to be like a crowded subway.

So I think I’m slowly accepting the idea that I’ll have to learn how to conduct an online class, and I am not looking forward to that.

Just record a bunch of online lectures and put them up on shared web space you have like Google Classroom or whatever your uni’s equivalent is.

Use Camtasia to screen record anything you want to show while you talk into a headset microphone about what you’re teaching.

For my class, I provide flipped lessons which the students use to discover the information themselves and then provide a quiz using Google Forms on that material at the end of the week.

1 Like

Well, I actually want to do a good job. Which means planning things like:

  • determining how much of the class will be synchronous vs. asynchronous
  • how to stagger recorded video with real-time video discussions to address any questions
  • what limitations students are likely to face in terms of technology
  • how to set up exams/assessments that aren’t subject to cheating

I also have a feeling that if the university announces online learning for Fall 2020, there’s going to be a huge disenrollment.

4 Likes

Don’t tell boredsocial

3 Likes

Looks like my county is one of only 22 in Iowa that isn’t reopening on the first. We are waiting until the 15th.

5 Likes

Ouch.

Didn’t know you’d be holding live streaming lectures. Your topic is likely more complex than my own.

Anyway, flipped learning is pretty darn beneficial in any subject. They learn the input on their own out of class and you can spend the time in lecture conducting activities where the students use the input in a supervised setting on a group activity. Did it while at the University of Sheffield. Very fun and helpful. There’s less teacher talking time and more student-centered work.

I’ll be doing summer class there exclusively online due to coronavirus and apparently there are still enough students to hire new teachers. Not sure what your subject is, but disenrollment might not necessarily be an issue.