I think AI is going to be more of a slow burn. Do layoffs. It is a bad job market so everyone left has to work harder. Rehire people when you find out they were needed and fill in the gaps with offshore workers who are more productive due to AI. Stock price go boom.
Jack is probably just another egomaniac who can’t resist being the first to let it rip.
But my biggest fear honestly with a white collar jobs recession is they decide to do another round of money printing stimulus and fuck it up and we are end up with stagflation where you have no job and your savings are worth much less.
Most tech companies hire too many people. Have to sell that growth story to Wall St.
OnlyFans has 42 employees, which tells you how many it actually takes to run a high-throughput, multi-tenant, interactive website with streaming considerations and tons of social features.
Twitter still works fine though, right? It made some people hate Elon, but if he had kept all his Naziness to himself Twitter wouldn’t have had people and advertisers leaving and he’d be left with a working platform and lower expenses.
Yeah, this is a long time ago, but at one point Craigslist (when it was already immensely popular) had like 9 people working there while Ebay had 30k. Ebay is more complicated for sure, but not that much more and overcomplication is part of what happens when you have tens of thousands of engineers.
Possibly the more dangerous for engineering jobs in big tech is that companies may no longer have their stock price and manager’s pay and bonuses so closely tied to how many engineers they have, but rather tied to how much AI is incorporated into what they are doing.
My impression is it’s people with high visibility so it still has influence. Popularity I doubt it. Many journalists still there but even they admit it’s a shit place to be. Lots of bots and trolls.
Bluesky is still supposed to be dying but that could be X propaganda. It’s the new place for science; sports gaining.
I disagree. people who like to write specs rarely ever get it right. or they think they want something but it’s so often the wrong thing. systems are still very complicated and difficult beasts to wrangle, the best people in the world fail at it constantly and I dont see any indication of ai filling the gap there
unless someone’s job was just a stitching together glue logic with react and some css styling, i wouldnt be too worried (there are a lot of those though)
Oh yeah I agree. Spec writers will have to tighten up their game, because the AI is gonna build whatever they tell it to, no matter how little sense it makes.
I’ve worked with programmers like that. I’m like:
“If the user clicks the back arrow that we provide, they have to fill in 30 fields all over again.”
“Well the spec didn’t say anything about remembering the user’s entries.”
The other aspect I forgot to mention is that one of the biggest benefit senior programmers add is designing the app in such a way that future feature requests don’t require a ton of rework. But also you don’t want to defensively code and add complexity for a bunch of future maybes. So there’s an art to this that only comes with experience.
However, if the AI can just refactor the whole app whenever it wants w/o taking a man-month of effort, the need for good design up-front is mitigated.
The NFL Combine is sponsored by Copilot, which means Rich Eisen is contractually obligated to ask every GM they get in the booth: “So how do you use Copilot?”
To which the GM spouts a bunch of gibberish about analytics and planning that has nothing to do with Copilot. He doesn’t know, he’s not at that level.
